166-168 W Main St

Orange, MA 01364

$1,400,000D+

64 bd · 64.0 ba · 7,262 sqft · Built 1800 · MultiFamily · Active · 199 DOM

Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)

• Estimated rent: $13,497/mo
• Mortgage (P&I): −$7,342
• Tax + insurance: −$2,389
• HOA: −$0
• Vac / Maint / Mgmt: −$2,834
• Net cashflow: $932/mo
• Annual: $11,184/yr
• Cap rate: 7.14%
• Cash-on-cash: 3.02%
• DSCR: 1.13
• 1% rule: 0.96%
• Cash to close: $392,000

Investor read

• This is a 4×3bd/1.0ba + 1×2bd/1.0ba + 3×1bd/1.0ba units multifamily listed at $1.40M.
• At list price, monthly cash flow is $932 ($11k/yr) — positive. Per door: $117/mo.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $1.35M (3.6% below list).
• It's been on market 199 days — a 12% lower offer ($1.23M) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• Recommended offer: $1.23M (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $10k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $42k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Location reads 63/100 on livability (#197 in MA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, cost of living A-; Watch: employment C-, health & safety D, schools F.
• Ralph C Mahar (town): math 24% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #258 of 302 in MA (top 85%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
• Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $56/mo; built in 1800 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
• Market conditions: 22 active listings in the ZIP; 89 units permitted in Franklin County in 2024 (22 in 5+ unit buildings).
• Franklin County population projected at -20% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
• 7 sale attempts since 9y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
• Current owner paid $700k; list at $1.40M implies a 100% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
• Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
• Cap rate 7.1% vs local median 4.2% in Orange — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Questions for listing agent

• It's been on market 199 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
• Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
• What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
• Built in 1800 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
• What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
• Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
• Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
• Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?