2 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,127 sqft ·
Built 1994
· Condo
· Active
· 97 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,213/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$839
Tax + insurance
−$296
HOA
−$718
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$465
Net cashflow
$-104/mo
Annual
$-1,252/yr
Cap rate
5.51%
Cash-on-cash
-2.80%
DSCR
0.88
1% rule
1.38%
Cash to close
$44,800
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $160k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-104 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $142k (11.5% below list).
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $160k).
It's been on market 97 days — a 9% lower offer ($146k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $142k (11.5% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 86/100 on livability (#12 in FL, #360 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+.
Orange (suburban): math 46% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #43 of 73 in FL (top 59%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Metrowest Elementary (math 42% / reading 39%, grade F, #1,471 of 2,144 statewide, top 69%, 610 students, 50% FRL); Gotha Middle (math 48% / reading 52%, grade C, #254 of 571 statewide, top 45%, 1,052 students, 42% FRL); Olympia High (math 24% / reading 52%, grade F, #328 of 667 statewide, top 50%, 2,969 students, 47% FRL).
Watch-outs: HOA is 32% of rent.
Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.2%/yr); 381 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 10d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 8,053 units permitted in Orange County in 2024 (3,133 in 5+ unit buildings).
Orange County population projected at +52% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
2 sale attempts since 16y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (11%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $85k; list at $160k implies a 88% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 5.5% vs local median 3.0% in Orlando — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 37% of the median local income ($71k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 97 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
CashFlowRE · CFR-29684KEQSE2DTR
· Data 18 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29