2300 Mt. Werner Circle Cir Unit 443/445 Cal 5

Steamboat Springs, CO 80487

$149,000A-

2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,190 sqft · Built 1999 · SingleFamily · Active · 15 DOM

Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)

• Estimated rent: $2,796/mo
• Mortgage (P&I): −$781
• Tax + insurance: −$248
• HOA: −$583
• Vac / Maint / Mgmt: −$587
• Net cashflow: $596/mo
• Annual: $7,154/yr
• Cap rate: 11.09%
• Cash-on-cash: 17.15%
• DSCR: 1.76
• 1% rule: 1.88%
• Cash to close: $41,720

Investor read

• This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $149k. Condition is rated excellent.
• At list price, monthly cash flow is $596 ($7k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $149k).
• It's been on market 15 days — a 2% lower offer ($147k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• Recommended offer: $147k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Location reads 74/100 on livability (#41 in CO, #4,975 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, employment A+, schools B; Watch: health & safety C-, amenities D, cost of living F.
• Steamboat Springs School District No. RE-2 (town): math 49% / reading 72% proficiency, ranked #4 of 86 in CO (top 5%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 12% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
• Watch-outs: HOA is 21% of rent.
• Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+10.6%/yr); 564 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 597 units permitted in Routt County in 2024 (418 in 5+ unit buildings).
• Routt County population projected at +18% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $42k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
• Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
• Cap rate 11.1% vs local median 0.1% in Steamboat Springs — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
• This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($110k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Questions for listing agent

• What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
• Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
• Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
• What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
• What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
• How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.