2300 Mt. Werner Circle Cir Unit 443/445 Cal 5 · Steamboat Springs, CO
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $939 – $1,743
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 80°F)
- 8 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 22 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 5 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the A- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Schools +5.3/10.0
- Rent growth +5.0/5.0
- Condition / age +4.8/5.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$149,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Key facts
- Garage
- Community pool
- Built 1999
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Homeowners association with annual fee; Annual association fee: $7,000 (approx. $583.33/month); Association amenities include fitness center; Building features: elevators, on-site management, reception area, steam room, WiFi
Exterior
- Parking: Underground garage (1 covered space); Heated garage; Electric vehicle charging station(s); Lighted parking; Community structure with unassigned spaces
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer (sewer connected); Electricity available; Natural gas available; Phone available
- Home design: Timeshare residential property; One level; Entry on level 6
- Construction: Metal roof; Construction: concrete, stucco, wood siding, steel siding
- Exterior features: Community pool; Storage; Landscaped grounds; Near public transit; Paved, publicly maintained road; Has view; Accessible approach with ramp
Interior
- Kitchen: Bar fridge; Dishwasher; Microwave; Oven; Range; Refrigerator
- Flooring: Carpet; Tile
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating and cooling; Forced air; Hot water heating; Natural gas
- Interior features: Furnished; Gas fireplace; Therapeutic whirlpool; Satellite dish; Common-area laundry
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Laundry located in common area
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $149k. Condition is rated excellent.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $596 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $149k).
- Recommended offer: $147k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 11.1% vs local median 0.1% in Steamboat Springs — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 74/100 on livability (#41 in CO, #4,975 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, employment A+, schools B; Watch: health & safety C-, amenities D, cost of living F.
- Steamboat Springs School District No. RE-2 (town): math 49% / reading 72% proficiency, ranked #4 of 86 in CO (top 5%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 12% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+10.6%/yr); 564 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 597 units permitted in Routt County in 2024 (418 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($110k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Routt County population projected at +18% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $42k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 15 days — a 2% lower offer ($147k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: HOA is 21% of rent.
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.88% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.09%
- Cash-on-cash
- 17.15%
- DSCR
- 1.76
- GRM
- 4.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $207,060
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2300 Mount Werner Cir Unit 228/229 | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 | 1,190 (0%) | 1mo | $125,000 | $105 | 99 |
| 2300 Mount Werner Cir Unit 367/369 QIII | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 | 1,177 (-1%) | 4mo | $204,900 | $174 | 95 |
| 2300 Mt. Werner Cir Unit 653 QIII | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 | 1,192 (+0%) | 8mo | $215,000 | $180 | 93 |
| 2300 Mount Werner Cir Unit 537/536 | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 | 1,190 (0%) | 12mo | $213,312 | $179 | 90 |
| 2300 Mt. Werner Circle Cir Unit 311/314 Cal1 | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 | 1,156 (-3%) | 7mo | $140,000 | $121 | 89 |
| 2300 Mt. Werner Cir Unit 226/227 QIV | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 | 1,129 (-5%) | 4mo | $200,000 | $177 | 88 |
| 2300 Mount Werner Cir Unit 210/209 | 0.00mi | 1/2.0 (-1) | 1,150 (-3%) | 5mo | $120,000 | $104 | 85 |
| 2300 Mount Werner Cir Unit 565 QIV | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 | 1,107 (-7%) | 8mo | $224,000 | $202 | 81 |
| 2300 Mount Werner Cir Unit 529/530 QIV | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 | 1,304 (+10%) | 6mo | $207,500 | $159 | 79 |
| 2300 Mt Werner Cir Unit 517 QI | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 | 1,349 (+13%) | 0mo | $235,000 | $174 | 77 |
| 2300 Mt Werner Cir Unit 529/530 | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 | 1,304 (+10%) | 11mo | $135,000 | $104 | 75 |
| 2335 Apres Ski Way Unit 117F | 0.30mi | 2/3.0 | 1,232 (+4%) | 13mo | $62,500 | $51 | 65 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 16.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.70×
- Total profit
- $29,000
- Equity at exit
- $22,216
- IRR
- 29.0%
- Equity multiple
- 4.43×
- Total profit
- $143,023
- Equity at exit
- $12,883
Cash invested: $41,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 38 Tenant-Leaning
- State Colorado
- 38 Tenant-Leaning · D+4
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 80487
- Rents YoY
- 10.6%
- Active inventory
- 564
- Price-to-rent
- 4.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,796 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$781
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$186 /mo · $2,235/yr
- Insurance
- −$62
- HOA
- −$583
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$587
- Net cashflow
- $596
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $699 | -5% $648 | +0% $596 | +5% $545 | +10% $493 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $375 | -5% $486 | +0% $596 | +5% $707 | +10% $817 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $671 | -0.5pp $634 | base $596 | +0.5pp $558 | +1.0pp $518 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $37,250
- Closing costs
- $4,470
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $583 · $6,996/yr
Listing history 11 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $149,000 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-19days on market $149,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $149,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $149,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $149,000 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $149,000 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $149,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $149,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $149,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $149,000 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-07$149,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 2/10 Low 8 d/yr ≥80°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $33,552
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,346
- − Property taxes
- −$2,235
- − Insurance
- −$745
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,684
- − Management
- −$2,684
- − HOA
- −$6,996
- − Depreciation
- −$4,335
- Taxable income
- $5,527
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,326
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,827/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 13 photos
This property is in excellent condition with no visible repairs needed. It offers a great investment opportunity with potential for value-add improvements that can enhance its resale and rental appeal.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Painting the exterior and interior walls — Fresh paint can enhance the curb appeal and interior aesthetics.
- Both Updating the flooring — New flooring can improve the overall look and feel of the interior.
- Both Upgrading the kitchen appliances — Modern appliances can increase the home's appeal and functionality.
- Both Installing smart home technology — Smart home technology can enhance convenience and energy efficiency, making the home more attractive to buyers and renters.
- Both Landscaping improvements — Well-maintained landscaping can enhance the curb appeal and add value to the property.
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Painting the exterior and interior walls — Fresh paint can enhance the curb appeal and interior aesthetics. ↑
- Both Updating the flooring — New flooring can improve the overall look and feel of the interior. ↑
- Both Upgrading the kitchen appliances — Modern appliances can increase the home's appeal and functionality. ↑
- Both Installing smart home technology — Smart home technology can enhance convenience and energy efficiency, making the home more attractive to buyers and renters. ↑
- Both Landscaping improvements — Well-maintained landscaping can enhance the curb appeal and add value to the property. ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Steamboat Springs School District No. RE-2
- NCES district ID
- 0806660
- Math proficiency
- 49% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 72% ▲ 1.00%
- Median HH income
- $67,833
- Composite
- 53.1/100
- National rank
- #1513
- State rank
- #4 of 86 in CO
Livability — Steamboat Springs
- Score
- 74/100
- State rank
- #41
- US rank
- #4975
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Steamboat Springs, CO
- County
- Routt County · 18,525 people
- City population
- 18,525
- Metro
- Steamboat Springs, CO
- Population (ZIP)
- 18,525
- Household income
- $109,659
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 644.0
Population outlook (Routt County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 27,283 people
- By 2030
- 28,555 · +4.7%
- By 2040
- 30,578 · +12.1%
- By 2050
- 32,328 · +18.5%
- By 2075
- 36,897 · +35.2%
- By 2100
- 38,794 · +42.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (80%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 80% Two or more races 12% Hispanic / Latino 9%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 6%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 5% Slovak 3% Lithuanian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 7% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Spanish 6% Other Indo-European 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Routt
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+27.7) · D 62.5% · R 34.8% · Other 2.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +0.9pp no change · 2008: 26.9pp · 2024: 27.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+27.7 2020: D+27.6 2016: D+17.0 2012: D+15.6 2008: D+26.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -342.73%
- Current HPI
- 471.8844
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 10.61%
- Metro
- Steamboat Springs, CO
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.95%
- F500 in state
- 14
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CO)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $31B |
|
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| Food / Agriculture | 1 | $18B |
|
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| Packaging | 1 | $14B |
|
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| Healthcare | 1 | $13B |
|
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| Energy | 1 | $10B |
|
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| Technology | 1 | $4B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-06-05 Listed $149,000 SAR
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…