2 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,470 sqft ·
Built 1981
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 71 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,553/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$991
Tax + insurance
−$360
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$326
Net cashflow
$-124/mo
Annual
$-1,489/yr
Cap rate
5.51%
Cash-on-cash
-2.81%
DSCR
0.87
1% rule
0.82%
Cash to close
$52,920
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $189k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-124 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $167k (11.6% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $155k (17.8% below list).
It's been on market 71 days — a 6% lower offer ($178k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $155k (17.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 90/100 on livability (#5 in IA, #89 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities C-.
Iowa City Community School District (urban): math 65% / reading 70% proficiency, ranked #174 of 289 in IA (top 60%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: Central Elementary School (math 57% / reading 60%, grade B-, #432 of 616 statewide, top 71%, 485 students, 53% FRL); Northwest Junior High School (math 64% / reading 71%, grade A-, #133 of 246 statewide, top 56%, 730 students, 43% FRL); West Senior High School (math 71% / reading 77%, grade B+, #103 of 336 statewide, top 32%, 1,503 students, 38% FRL) — zoned schools average 45% FRL vs 30% district-wide (15 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.1%/yr); 374 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 40% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 714 units permitted in Johnson County in 2024 (158 in 5+ unit buildings).
Johnson County population projected at +60% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
5 sale attempts since 5y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Cap rate 5.5% vs local median 2.1% in Coralville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 71 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 18% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
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· Data 1 week agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29