1726 12th Ave · Coralville, IA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $902 – $1,676
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 104°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Cash flow +9.7/30.0
- Schools +5.7/10.0
- Livability +4.5/5.0
- Rent growth +4.0/5.0
- 1% rule +3.2/10.0
- DSCR +2.7/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$189,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Short sale subject to lender approval. .
Key facts
- Open main level
- Close to schools
- Spacious lower level
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $189k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-124 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $167k (11.6% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $155k (17.8% below list).
- Recommended offer: $155k (17.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 5.5% vs local median 2.1% in Coralville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 90/100 on livability (#5 in IA, #89 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities C-.
- Iowa City Community School District (urban): math 65% / reading 70% proficiency, ranked #174 of 289 in IA (top 60%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.1%/yr); 374 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 40% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 714 units permitted in Johnson County in 2024 (158 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Johnson County population projected at +60% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 71 days — a 6% lower offer ($178k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts since 5y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 71 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 18% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.82% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.51%
- Cash-on-cash
- -2.81%
- DSCR
- 0.87
- GRM
- 10.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $231,452
- List price
- $189,000
- Delta
- -18.34%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2007 South Ridge Dr | 0.25mi | 2/2.0 | 1,430 (-3%) | 8mo | $214,000 | $150 | 77 |
| 2030 South Ridge Dr | 0.29mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,390 (-5%) | 11mo | $241,000 | $173 | 63 |
| 1449 Walker Way | 0.36mi | 3/2.5 (+1) | 1,599 (+9%) | 4mo | $330,000 | $206 | 59 |
| 1361 Ozark Rdg | 0.47mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,539 (+5%) | 10mo | $210,000 | $136 | 57 |
| 2017 S Ridge Dr | 0.25mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,660 (+13%) | 4mo | $225,000 | $136 | 57 |
| 1808 Lynncrest Dr | 0.44mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,618 (+10%) | 2mo | $238,000 | $147 | 56 |
| 2045 South Ridge Dr | 0.29mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,264 (-14%) | 12mo | $220,000 | $174 | 48 |
| 1411 Westview Dr | 0.63mi | 2/2.0 | 1,308 (-11%) | 5mo | $145,000 | $111 | 48 |
| 1451 Westview Dr | 0.62mi | 3/3.0 (+1) | 1,424 (-3%) | 11mo | $177,500 | $125 | 47 |
| 1335 Southview Cir | 0.67mi | 2/2.0 | 1,302 (-11%) | 5mo | $185,000 | $142 | 45 |
| 1444 Eastview Dr | 0.64mi | 2/2.0 | 1,292 (-12%) | 8mo | $150,000 | $116 | 43 |
| 1424 Eastview Dr | 0.65mi | 2/1.5 | 1,324 (-10%) | 10mo | $215,000 | $162 | 43 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 6.14% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -17.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.37×
- Total profit
- $-33,415
- Equity at exit
- $28,181
- IRR
- -4.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.68×
- Total profit
- $-16,909
- Equity at exit
- $16,341
Cash invested: $52,920 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Iowa
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 52241
- Rents YoY
- 6.1%
- Active inventory
- 374
- Price-to-rent
- 10.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,553 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$991
- Tax from tax record
- −$281 /mo · $3,374/yr
- Insurance
- −$79
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$326
- Net cashflow
- $-124
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-17 | -5% $-71 | +0% $-124 | +5% $-178 | +10% $-231 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-247 | -5% $-185 | +0% $-124 | +5% $-63 | +10% $-1 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-29 | -0.5pp $-76 | base $-124 | +0.5pp $-173 | +1.0pp $-223 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $47,250
- Closing costs
- $5,670
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 5 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2010 10th St #8 Coralville, IA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1320 | $1,650 | $1.25 | 22d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 2010 10th St Coralville, IA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1320 | $1,650 | $1.25 | 14d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 101 21st Avenue Pl Coralville, IA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 959 | $1,050 | $1.09 | 44d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 2 Russell Slade Blvd Coralville, IA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1241 | $2,250 | $1.81 | 14d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 1705 2nd St Unit A Coralville, IA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1207 | $1,650 | $1.37 | 44d | 1 | 1.39mi |
Listing history 22 events
-
2026-06-09days on market $189,000 Active 71 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $189,000 Active 70 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $189,000 Active 69 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $189,000 Active 66 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $189,000 Active 65 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $189,000 Active 64 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $189,000 Active 63 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $189,000 Active 62 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $189,000 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-03-30$189,000 Active 40-char remark
Show marketing remark (40 chars)
Short sale subject to lender approval. .
-
2026-03-12status Active
-
2026-02-23status Pending
-
2026-02-10price $189,000
-
2026-01-22price $194,900
-
2025-12-09price $199,900
-
2025-11-17price $205,000
-
2025-11-01$215,000 Active
-
2021-11-24soldstatus $169,875
-
2021-11-23soldstatus $170,000
-
2021-10-20$170,000
-
2021-07-17$249,500
-
2008-06-23soldstatus $120,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $3,374 · $281/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,374 · $281/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,638
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,587
- − Property taxes
- −$3,374
- − Insurance
- −$945
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,491
- − Management
- −$1,491
- − Depreciation
- −$5,498
- Taxable loss
- −$4,748
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,140
- After-tax cash flow
- $-349/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Iowa City Community School District
- NCES district ID
- 1914700
- Math proficiency
- 65% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 70% ▲ 2.00%
- Median HH income
- $50,229
- Composite
- 57.3/100
- National rank
- #1088
- State rank
- #174 of 289 in IA
Livability — Coralville
- Score
- 90/100
- State rank
- #5
- US rank
- #89
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Coralville, IA
- County
- Johnson County · 132,710 people
- City population
- 23,250
- Metro
- Iowa City, IA
- Population (ZIP)
- 23,250
- Household income
- $69,243
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1220.0
Population outlook (Johnson County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 180,405 people
- By 2030
- 200,014 · +10.9%
- By 2040
- 241,428 · +33.8%
- By 2050
- 288,144 · +59.7%
- By 2075
- 420,009 · +132.8%
- By 2100
- 546,596 · +203.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.55)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 64% Black 15% Asian 10% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 6%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 3% Ukrainian 3% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 16% · China, Canada, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 78% English-only · Chinese 4% Spanish 4% Other Indo-European 4%
Political lean MEDSL · Johnson
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+38.1) · D 68.4% · R 30.3% · Other 1.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -3.4pp toward R · 2008: 41.5pp · 2024: 38.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+38.1 2020: D+43.2 2016: D+38.3 2012: D+35.4 2008: D+41.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -95.15%
- Current HPI
- 154.7424
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 6.14%
- Metro
- Iowa City, IA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.48%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $16B |
|
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| Retail / Convenience | 1 | $15B |
|
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Price history
+57.5% since first listed13 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-30 Listed $189,000 ICAARMLS
- 2026-03-12 Relisted — ICAARMLS
- 2026-02-23 Pending — ICAARMLS
- 2026-02-10 Price Changed $189,000 ICAARMLS
- 2026-01-22 Price Changed $194,900 ICAARMLS
- 2025-12-09 Price Changed $199,900 ICAARMLS
- 2025-11-17 Price Changed $205,000 ICAARMLS
- 2025-11-01 Listed $215,000 ICAARMLS
- 2021-11-24 Sold (Public Records) $169,875 Public Records
- 2021-11-23 Sold (MLS) $170,000 ICAARMLS
- 2021-10-20 Listed $170,000 ICAARMLS
- 2021-07-17 Listed $249,500 ICAARMLS
- 2008-06-23 Sold (Public Records) $120,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+4.2%/yrLatest (2025): $3,374 · -3.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…