3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,486 sqft ·
Built 1880
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 52 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,579/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,022
Tax + insurance
−$176
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$331
Net cashflow
$49/mo
Annual
$588/yr
Cap rate
6.59%
Cash-on-cash
1.08%
DSCR
1.05
1% rule
0.81%
Cash to close
$54,572
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $195k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $49 ($588/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $158k (19.0% below list).
It's been on market 52 days — a 3% lower offer ($189k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $158k (19.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
Butte H S (town): math 24% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #73 of 116 in MT (top 63%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Watch-outs: built in 1880 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+10.4%/yr); 320 active listings in the ZIP; 109 units permitted in Silver Bow County in 2024 (25 in 5+ unit buildings).
Silver Bow County population projected at +8% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk; moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 6.6% vs local median 2.9% in Butte-Silver Bow (balance) — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($60k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 52 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 19% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1880 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-2DW6HA6JNJRXRZ
· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29