3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,566 sqft ·
Built 2003
· Manufactured
· Active
· 29 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$3,939/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,363
Tax + insurance
−$433
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$827
Net cashflow
$1,315/mo
Annual
$15,778/yr
Cap rate
12.36%
Cash-on-cash
21.67%
DSCR
1.96
1% rule
1.51%
Cash to close
$72,800
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $260k. Condition is rated good.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($16k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $260k).
It's been on market 29 days — a 2% lower offer ($256k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $256k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 78/100 on livability (#72 in CA, #2,776 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, employment A+; Watch: cost of living F.
Pleasant Valley (urban): math 43% / reading 57% proficiency, ranked #119 of 517 in CA (top 23%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 20% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.2%/yr); 160 active listings in the ZIP; 11 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 2d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 1,759 units permitted in Ventura County in 2024 (1,196 in 5+ unit buildings).
Ventura County population projected at +4% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 1.2% rent growth), your $73k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Cap rate 12.4% vs local median 2.5% in Camarillo — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($135k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-2EB7EF3TJBF32E
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29