2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,066 sqft ·
Built 1980
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 40 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$825/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$406
Tax + insurance
−$129
HOA
−$795
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$173
Net cashflow
$-679/mo
Annual
$-8,146/yr
Cap rate
-4.22%
Cash-on-cash
-37.54%
DSCR
-0.67
1% rule
1.06%
Cash to close
$21,700
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $78k. Condition is rated fair.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-679 ($-8k/yr) — negative.
Rent doesn't cover operating costs at any purchase price — skip.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($825 rent vs $78k).
It's been on market 40 days — a 3% lower offer ($75k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $75k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $8k of equity ($536 loan paydown + $7k appreciation (9.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
St. James Public School District (town): math 36% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #226 of 301 in MN (top 75%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Watch-outs: HOA is 96% of rent.
Market conditions: 32 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 4 units permitted in Watonwan County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Watonwan County population projected to shrink 10% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
2 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$35k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Cap rate -4.2% vs local median 3.5% in St. James — below-typical yield; the buyer is paying a premium for something (appreciation thesis, condition, location) that the cap rate doesn't capture.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 40 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Minor: kitchen cabinets
— slight wear
Minor: bathroom shower door
— frosted glass
Minor: landscaping
— needs trimming
CashFlowRE · CFR-2EY4V60W6B33E5
· Data 6 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29