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1000 9th Street South St #121
D Composite 40.8
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +9.5/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.6/10.0
  • Schools +3.4/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.2/5.0
  • Cash flow +0.0/30.0
  • DSCR +0.0/10.0

$77,500

1000 9th Street South St #121 · St. James, MN 56081
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,066 sqft · SingleFamily · 38 Days on market
Built 1980 Fair condition $73/sqft · 34% below area Est $117k · 34% under $795/mo HOA · 96% of rent ↓ 3% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Two-bedroom unit with an excellent floor plan in the Homestead Cooperative of St. James. This is an open layout with entry, dining area, living room, kitchen, hallway leading to the bedrooms and bathroom. The primary has walk-in closet with storage organizer shelving system. The bathroom has step-in shower with grab bars. There is a small room which can be used as office or pantry, and double closet by main entry. This complex has many amenities including: community room, kitchen, craft / recreation room with pool table, laundry facilities, beauty shop, exercise room, storage areas with closets designated to each unit, attached garage, men and women bathrooms lobby, and front office. Schedule your showing today to see everything the Homestead has to offer!

Key facts

  • Laundry facilities
  • Attached garage
  • Walk-in closet

Tags

EXCELLENT FLOOR PLANOPEN LAYOUTWALK-IN CLOSETSTEP-IN SHOWERATTACHED GARAGELAUNDRY FACILITIES

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Annual tax amount listed
  • HOA & community: Homeowners association with monthly fee of $795

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached garage (1 car)
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residential condo; Residential property
  • Construction: Brick construction; Above-grade finished area 1,066
  • Exterior features: Asphalt roof; Public maintained road

Interior

  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Electric baseboard heating
  • Interior features: Electric water heater; Water softener; Has heating

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $78k. Condition is rated fair.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-679 ($-8k/yr) — negative.
  • Rent doesn't cover operating costs at any purchase price — skip.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($825 rent vs $78k).
  • Recommended offer: $75k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate -4.2% vs local median 3.5% in St. James — below-typical yield; the buyer is paying a premium for something (appreciation thesis, condition, location) that the cap rate doesn't capture.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • St. James Public School District (town): math 36% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #226 of 301 in MN (top 75%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 32 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 4 units permitted in Watonwan County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $8k of equity ($536 loan paydown + $7k appreciation (9.0% local appreciation)).
  • Watonwan County population projected to shrink 10% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$35k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 38 days — a 3% lower offer ($75k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: HOA is 96% of rent.
Recommended offer $75,175 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 38 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
  4. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.06%
Cap rate
-4.22%
Cash-on-cash
-37.54%
DSCR
-0.67
GRM
7.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$117,213
List price
$77,500
Delta
-33.88%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 7 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1000 S 9th St #109 0.02mi 2/2.0 1,040 (-2%) 17mo $89,000 $86 76
920 S Armstrong Blvd 0.24mi 1/1.0 (-1) 984 (-8%) 1mo $97,850 $99 70
503 S 9th Avenue Ave 0.32mi 2/2.0 1,120 (+5%) 7mo $110,000 $98 67
925 7th Street South St 0.14mi 2/1.0 952 (-11%) 21mo $85,000 $89 59
1003 5th Avenue South Ave 0.42mi 2/— 1,012 (-5%) 22mo $120,000 $119 53
605 S Eighth St 0.31mi 2/1.0 1,200 (+13%) 22mo $159,900 $133 46
217 S 4th Street St 0.49mi 2/1.0 940 (-12%) 14mo $95,200 $101 46

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

9.04% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-3.1%
Equity multiple
0.74×
Total profit
$-5,555
Equity at exit
$64,468
10-year hold
IRR
2.7%
Equity multiple
1.81×
Total profit
$17,596
Equity at exit
$133,702

Cash invested: $21,700 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
46 Balanced
State Minnesota
46 Balanced · D+2
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
2024 reforms strengthened tenant protections; ramsey/hennepin courts paced moderate to slow.

ZIP-level market 56081

Home prices YoY
3.2%
Active inventory
32
Price-to-rent
7.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$825 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$406
Tax est. 1.5%
$97 /mo · $1,162/yr
Insurance
$32
HOA
$795
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$173
Net cashflow
$-679

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,684
Max offer price
Occupancy floor

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$19,375
Closing costs
$2,325
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1212 Heckman Ct Unit 1 St James, MN 1.0 1.0 1100 $825 $0.75 44d 1 0.42mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$795 · $9,540/yr
Likely covers
pool

Listing history 20 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $77,500 Active 38 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $77,500 Active 37 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $77,500 Active 36 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $77,500 Active 35 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $77,500 Active 33 DOM
  6. 2026-06-12
    days on market $77,500 Active 32 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $77,500 Active 29 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $77,500 Active 28 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $77,500 Active 27 DOM
  10. 2026-06-05
    days on market $77,500 Active 25 DOM
  11. 2026-06-04
    days on market $77,500 Active 23 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $77,500 Active 22 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $77,500 Active 21 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $77,500 Active 20 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $77,500 Active 19 DOM
  16. 2026-05-11
    listed $77,500 Active 773-char remark
  17. 2024-08-20
    soldstatus $72,500 Closed 766-char remark
    Show marketing remark (766 chars)

    Two-bedroom unit with an excellent floor plan in the Homestead Cooperative of St. James. This is an open layout with entry, dining area, living room, kitchen, hallway leading to the bedrooms and bathroom. The primary has walk-in closet with storage organizer shelving system. The bathroom has step-in shower with grab bars. There is a small room which can be used as office or pantry, and double closet by main entry. This complex has many amenities including: community room, kitchen, craft / recreation room with pool table, laundry facilities, beauty shop, exercise room, storage areas with closets designated to each unit, attached garage, men and women bathrooms lobby, and front office. Schedule your showing today to see everything the Homestead has to offer!

  18. 2024-07-10
    status Pending 766-char remark
    Show marketing remark (766 chars)

    Two-bedroom unit with an excellent floor plan in the Homestead Cooperative of St. James. This is an open layout with entry, dining area, living room, kitchen, hallway leading to the bedrooms and bathroom. The primary has walk-in closet with storage organizer shelving system. The bathroom has step-in shower with grab bars. There is a small room which can be used as office or pantry, and double closet by main entry. This complex has many amenities including: community room, kitchen, craft / recreation room with pool table, laundry facilities, beauty shop, exercise room, storage areas with closets designated to each unit, attached garage, men and women bathrooms lobby, and front office. Schedule your showing today to see everything the Homestead has to offer!

  19. 2024-06-05
    price $75,000 766-char remark
    Show marketing remark (766 chars)

    Two-bedroom unit with an excellent floor plan in the Homestead Cooperative of St. James. This is an open layout with entry, dining area, living room, kitchen, hallway leading to the bedrooms and bathroom. The primary has walk-in closet with storage organizer shelving system. The bathroom has step-in shower with grab bars. There is a small room which can be used as office or pantry, and double closet by main entry. This complex has many amenities including: community room, kitchen, craft / recreation room with pool table, laundry facilities, beauty shop, exercise room, storage areas with closets designated to each unit, attached garage, men and women bathrooms lobby, and front office. Schedule your showing today to see everything the Homestead has to offer!

  20. 2024-04-02
    listed $79,500 Active 766-char remark
    Show marketing remark (766 chars)

    Two-bedroom unit with an excellent floor plan in the Homestead Cooperative of St. James. This is an open layout with entry, dining area, living room, kitchen, hallway leading to the bedrooms and bathroom. The primary has walk-in closet with storage organizer shelving system. The bathroom has step-in shower with grab bars. There is a small room which can be used as office or pantry, and double closet by main entry. This complex has many amenities including: community room, kitchen, craft / recreation room with pool table, laundry facilities, beauty shop, exercise room, storage areas with closets designated to each unit, attached garage, men and women bathrooms lobby, and front office. Schedule your showing today to see everything the Homestead has to offer!

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$9,900
− Mortgage interest
−$4,341
− Property taxes
−$1,162
− Insurance
−$388
− Repairs & maintenance
−$792
− Management
−$792
− HOA
−$9,540
− Depreciation
−$2,255
Taxable loss
−$9,370
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$2,249
After-tax cash flow
$-5,897/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Fair 45/100 Moderate rehab

The property is in fair condition with moderate rehabilitation needed. It has a good roof and foundation, but requires updates to the interior and exterior to increase its value.

Repairs flagged

  • Minor kitchen cabinets — slight wear
  • Minor bathroom shower door — frosted glass
  • Minor landscaping — needs trimming

Value-add opportunities

  • Both paint interior walls — fresh paint enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics
  • Both replace carpet with hardwood flooring — hardwood flooring increases resale value and rental appeal
  • Both update kitchen cabinets and countertops — new cabinets and countertops improve functionality and aesthetics
  • Both repair and paint exterior brick pillars — enhances curb appeal and property value

Renovation cost estimate screening

Repair itemSeverityEst. cost
kitchen cabinets · slight wear Minor $500–3,000
bathroom shower door · frosted glass Minor $500–3,000
landscaping · needs trimming Minor $500–3,000
Total estimated repair cost · 3 items $1,500–9,000

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both paint interior walls — fresh paint enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics
  • Both replace carpet with hardwood flooring — hardwood flooring increases resale value and rental appeal
  • Both update kitchen cabinets and countertops — new cabinets and countertops improve functionality and aesthetics
  • Both repair and paint exterior brick pillars — enhances curb appeal and property value

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
St. James Public School District
NCES district ID
2733600
Math proficiency
36% ▼ -20.00%
Reading proficiency
43% ▼ -14.00%
Median HH income
$48,256
Composite
33.89/100
National rank
#5345
State rank
#226 of 301 in MN

Livability — St. James

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Census place
St. James, MN
City population
6,092
Population (ZIP)
6,092

Population outlook (Watonwan County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
10,579 people
By 2030
10,354 · -2.1%
By 2040
9,923 · -6.2%
By 2050
9,558 · -9.7%
By 2075
9,236 · -12.7%
By 2100
8,812 · -16.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority White (64%)
Race & ethnicity
White 64% Hispanic / Latino 35% Two or more races 9%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 25%
Common ancestry
Portuguese 15% Italian 1% Romanian 1%
Foreign-born
14% · Canada
Languages at home
71% English-only · Spanish 29%

Political lean MEDSL · Watonwan

2024 margin
Strong R (+27.8) · D 35.1% · R 62.9% · Other 2.0%
2008→2024 swing
-28.5pp toward R · 2008: 0.7pp · 2024: -27.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+27.8 2020: R+21.5 2016: R+19.2 2012: R+0.5 2008: D+0.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 9.04%
Current HPI
292.2265
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.41%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MN)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-2.5% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-11 Listed $77,500 RASM
  • 2024-08-20 Sold (MLS) $72,500 RASM
  • 2024-07-10 Pending RASM
  • 2024-06-05 Price Changed $75,000 RASM
  • 2024-04-02 Listed $79,500 RASM

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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