300 Robin Dr

Ocean City, MD 21842

$230,000D+

None bd · 1.0 ba · 459 sqft · Built 1973 · Townhouse · Active · 14 DOM

Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)

• Estimated rent: $2,053/mo
• Mortgage (P&I): −$1,206
• Tax + insurance: −$450
• HOA: −$0
• Vac / Maint / Mgmt: −$431
• Net cashflow: $-34/mo
• Annual: $-411/yr
• Cap rate: 6.46%
• Cash-on-cash: 0.60%
• DSCR: 1.03
• 1% rule: 0.89%
• Cash to close: $64,400

Investor read

• This is a ?-bed/1.0-bath townhouse listed at $230k. Condition is rated fair.
• At list price, monthly cash flow is $-34 ($-411/yr) — negative.
• To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $225k (2.2% below list).
• To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $205k (10.7% below list).
• Only 14 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
• Recommended offer: $205k (10.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Location reads 73/100 on livability (#125 in MD) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, health & safety A+, schools B+; Watch: cost of living C-, crime F.
• Worcester County Public Schools (town): math 30% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #6 of 24 in MD (top 25%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
• Market conditions: 673 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 354 units permitted in Worcester County in 2024 (6 in 5+ unit buildings).
• Worcester County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
• 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
• Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
• Cap rate 6.5% vs local median 1.4% in Ocean City — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
• This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($80k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Questions for listing agent

• What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
• Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
• Built in 1973 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
• What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
• Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
• Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
• Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
• The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?

Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)

• Minor: kitchen cabinets — Standard kitchen cabinets may need minor touch-ups or cleaning.
• Minor: bathroom fixtures — Standard bathroom fixtures may need minor cleaning or touch-ups.
• Minor: exterior siding — Exterior siding may need minor touch-ups or cleaning.
• Minor: interior walls — Interior walls may need touch-ups or repainting.
• Minor: windows — Windows may need minor cleaning or touch-ups.
• Minor: HVAC filters — New HVAC unit may need filters replaced.