3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,218 sqft ·
Built 1978
· Condo
· Active
· 165 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,268/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$551
Tax + insurance
−$175
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$266
Net cashflow
$276/mo
Annual
$3,314/yr
Cap rate
9.45%
Cash-on-cash
11.27%
DSCR
1.50
1% rule
1.21%
Cash to close
$29,400
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $105k. Condition is rated fair.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $276 ($3k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $105k).
It's been on market 165 days — a 12% lower offer ($92k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $92k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $726 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 75/100 on livability (#8 in NM, #4,339 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D, schools F, crime F.
Roswell Independent Schools (town): math 11% / reading 52% proficiency, ranked #16 of 29 in NM (top 55%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 75% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.3%/yr); 252 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 88 units permitted in Chaves County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
8 sale attempts since 13y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (9%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.3% rent growth), your $29k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 165 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Built in 1978 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Moderate: kitchen cabinets
— dated and in need of replacement
Moderate: kitchen countertops
— dated and in need of replacement
Moderate: bathroom vanity
— dated and in need of replacement
Moderate: exterior paint
— peeling and in need of repainting
CashFlowRE · CFR-2H52DH9JVYZQAR
· Data 4 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29