3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,360 sqft ·
Built 1960
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 13 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,387/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,023
Tax + insurance
−$346
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$291
Net cashflow
$-273/mo
Annual
$-3,274/yr
Cap rate
4.61%
Cash-on-cash
-6.00%
DSCR
0.73
1% rule
0.71%
Cash to close
$54,600
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $195k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-273 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $147k (24.7% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $139k (28.9% below list).
Only 13 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $139k (28.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $21k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $20k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 81/100 on livability (#23 in TX, #1,375 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D+.
El Paso ISD (urban): math 27% / reading 37% proficiency, ranked #591 of 826 in TX (top 72%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 65% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Hawkins El (math 54% / reading 64%, grade B-, #409 of 4,322 statewide, top 10%, 262 students, 97% FRL); Ross Middle (math 28% / reading 32%, grade F, #1,056 of 1,662 statewide, top 65%, 658 students, 79% FRL); Burges H S (math 36% / reading 37%, grade F, #924 of 1,632 statewide, top 57%, 1,478 students, 80% FRL) — zoned schools average 85% FRL vs 65% district-wide (20 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Market conditions: 60 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 44% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 2,196 units permitted in El Paso County in 2024 (143 in 5+ unit buildings).
El Paso County population projected at +10% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→25/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-2HFQ2G9DAMPHD6
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29