3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,314 sqft ·
Built 1959
· Other
· Under Contract
· 34 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,420/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,337
Tax + insurance
−$276
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$508
Net cashflow
$299/mo
Annual
$3,583/yr
Cap rate
7.70%
Cash-on-cash
5.02%
DSCR
1.22
1% rule
0.95%
Cash to close
$71,400
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $255k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $299 ($4k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $242k (5.1% below list).
It's been on market 34 days — a 3% lower offer ($247k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $242k (5.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 74/100 on livability (#266 in IL, #4,960 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+, crime A; Watch: commute D, schools D-, amenities F.
Valley View CUSD 365U (suburban): math 21% / reading 28% proficiency, ranked #289 of 620 in IL (top 47%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Watch-outs: built in 1959 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.2%/yr); 63 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 2,028 units permitted in Will County in 2024 (530 in 5+ unit buildings).
Will County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 7.2% rent growth), your $71k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Cap rate 7.7% vs local median 4.5% in Romeoville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 34 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 5% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1959 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-2HXCE72D5QX8CG
· Data 5 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29