632 Jordan Ave · Romeoville, IL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $804 – $1,492
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 102°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 6 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +19.7/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +6.2/10.0
- 1% rule +4.5/10.0
- Rent growth +4.3/5.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.3/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$255,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
3 bedroom, 1 bathroom, ranch home located in the Hampton Park subdivision of Romeoville. There is no garage, as it was converted into an additional living space. In great condition.
Key facts
- Built 1959
- Listed 34 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $255k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $299 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $242k (5.1% below list).
- Recommended offer: $242k (5.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 7.7% vs local median 4.5% in Romeoville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 74/100 on livability (#266 in IL, #4,960 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+, crime A; Watch: commute D, schools D-, amenities F.
- Valley View CUSD 365U (suburban): math 21% / reading 28% proficiency, ranked #289 of 620 in IL (top 47%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.2%/yr); 63 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 2,028 units permitted in Will County in 2024 (530 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Will County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 7.2% rent growth), your $71k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 34 days — a 3% lower offer ($247k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1959 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 34 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 5% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1959 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.95% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.70%
- Cash-on-cash
- 5.02%
- DSCR
- 1.22
- GRM
- 8.8
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 7.16% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -4.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.83×
- Total profit
- $-11,803
- Equity at exit
- $38,021
- IRR
- 9.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.86×
- Total profit
- $61,186
- Equity at exit
- $22,048
Cash invested: $71,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
- State Illinois
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 60446
- Rents YoY
- 7.2%
- Active inventory
- 63
- Price-to-rent
- 8.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,420 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,337
- Tax from tax record
- −$170 /mo · $2,041/yr
- Insurance
- −$106
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$508
- Net cashflow
- $299
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $443 | -5% $371 | +0% $299 | +5% $226 | +10% $154 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $107 | -5% $203 | +0% $299 | +5% $394 | +10% $490 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $427 | -0.5pp $363 | base $299 | +0.5pp $233 | +1.0pp $165 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $63,750
- Closing costs
- $7,650
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 6 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 611 Nelson Ave Romeoville, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $2,700 | $2.25 | 25d | 1 | 0.19mi |
| 508 Kenyon Ave Romeoville, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 906 | $1,050 | $1.16 | 15d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 531 Glen Ave Romeoville, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1194 | $2,200 | $1.84 | 44d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 713 Essex Ave Romeoville, IL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1209 | $2,400 | $1.99 | 25d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 423 Dalhart Ave Romeoville, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 915 | $2,195 | $2.40 | 44d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 344 Emery Ave Romeoville, IL | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1368 | $2,750 | $2.01 | 12d | 1 | 0.94mi |
Listing history 13 events
-
2026-06-16status $255,000 Under Contract 34 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $255,000 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $255,000 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $255,000 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $255,000 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $255,000 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $255,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $255,000 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $255,000 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $255,000 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $255,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $255,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-05-12$255,000 Active 181-char remark
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,041 · $170/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,915 · $326/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,874/yr (+$156/mo · 91.8%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $29,046
- − Mortgage interest
- −$14,284
- − Property taxes
- −$2,041
- − Insurance
- −$1,275
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,324
- − Management
- −$2,324
- − Depreciation
- −$7,418
- Taxable loss
- −$620
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$149
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,732/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Valley View CUSD 365U
- NCES district ID
- 1740070
- Math proficiency
- 21% ▼ -15.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 28% ▼ -10.00%
- Median HH income
- $69,424
- Composite
- 23.48/100
- National rank
- #7875
- State rank
- #289 of 620 in IL
Livability — Romeoville
- Score
- 74/100
- State rank
- #266
- US rank
- #4960
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Romeoville, IL
- County
- Will County · 412,448 people
- City population
- 41,672
- Metro
- Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
- Population (ZIP)
- 41,672
- Household income
- $106,258
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 699.0
Population outlook (Will County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 705,368 people
- By 2030
- 708,154 · +0.4%
- By 2040
- 702,692 · -0.4%
- By 2050
- 680,249 · -3.6%
- By 2075
- 611,990 · -13.2%
- By 2100
- 516,215 · -26.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.67)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 44% Hispanic / Latino 35% Two or more races 16% Black 12% Asian 6%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 32% Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 9% Italian 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 20% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 62% English-only · Spanish 26% Russian/Polish/Slavic 4% Other Indo-European 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Will
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 50.1% · R 48.5% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -11.6pp toward R · 2008: 13.2pp · 2024: 1.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+1.6 2020: D+8.3 2016: D+5.7 2012: D+3.7 2008: D+13.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -234.09%
- Current HPI
- 217.5048
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 7.16%
- Metro
- Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.59%
- F500 in state
- 60
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 4 | $201B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 4 | $87B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $64B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 2 | $55B |
|
||
| Retail / Pharmacy | 1 | $148B |
|
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| Agriculture / Food | 1 | $86B |
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Price history
2 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-16 Pending — FSBO.com
- 2026-05-12 Listed $255,000 FSBO.com
Property tax history
-2.7%/yrLatest (2024): $2,041 · -4.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…