0 bd · 1.0 ba ·
924 sqft ·
Built 1974
· Manufactured
· Pending
· 53 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,014/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$288
Tax + insurance
−$34
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$213
Net cashflow
$479/mo
Annual
$5,742/yr
Cap rate
16.73%
Cash-on-cash
37.29%
DSCR
2.66
1% rule
1.84%
Cash to close
$15,400
Investor read
This is a ?-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $55k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $479 ($6k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $55k).
It's been on market 53 days — a 3% lower offer ($53k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $53k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $380 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 86/100 on livability (#3 in ID, #428 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+.
Idaho Falls District (urban): math 36% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #54 of 92 in ID (top 59%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.6%/yr); 275 active listings in the ZIP; 2,253 units permitted in Bonneville County in 2024 (1,051 in 5+ unit buildings).
Bonneville County population projected at +18% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
3 sale attempts since 8y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 2.6% rent growth), your $15k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
This rent is only 16% of the median local income ($75k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 53 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1974 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-2M0Z3Z5ND2VCQ8
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29