3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,232 sqft ·
Built 1960
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 11 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,356/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$420
Tax + insurance
−$231
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$285
Net cashflow
$421/mo
Annual
$5,053/yr
Cap rate
12.61%
Cash-on-cash
22.56%
DSCR
2.00
1% rule
1.70%
Cash to close
$22,400
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $80k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $421 ($5k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $80k).
Only 11 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $553 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 60/100 on livability (#989 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
Havana CUSD 126 (town): math 17% / reading 22% proficiency, ranked #448 of 620 in IL (top 72%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Zoned schools: Havana High School (math 15% / reading 24%, grade F, #379 of 693 statewide, top 57%, 279 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 47% district-wide (47 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
Watch-outs: property tax is 3.0% of price.
Market conditions: 36 active listings in the ZIP; 7 units permitted in Mason County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Mason County population projected at -30% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-2P9P0Z5K2GQMW0
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29