421 E Franklin St · Havana, IL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $804 – $1,492
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +10.8/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Livability +3.0/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.7/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$80,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
SOLD-AS-IS Very well maintained home, Ranch style sitting on large lot, with 3 bedrooms 1 full bath on main and full bath in basement, oversized eat in kitchen, all 3 bedrooms offer hardwood flooring, full basement to finish as you need for the family. 1 stall attached garage. Sold-as-is
Key facts
- Hardwood flooring
- Large lot
- Full basement
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Attached 1-car garage
- Utilities: Public water and public sewer
- Home design: Single family residence; One-story main level with additional upper, lower and basement levels; Built in 1960
- Construction: Shingle roof; Total living area about 1,232 (building area total)
- Exterior features: Level lot; Lot dimensions approximately 70 x 150
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen on the main level (approx. 24 x 9.5)
- Bedrooms: Three bedrooms (all with egress windows); Primary bedroom approximately 12 x 11 on the main level; Second bedroom approximately 10 x 9.5 on the main level; Third bedroom approximately 10 x 10 on the main level
- Flooring: Hardwood flooring in bedrooms; Carpet in living room; Vinyl flooring in kitchen
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Full unfinished basement; No fireplaces
- Laundry & utility: Basement utility space
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $80k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $421 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $80k).
Location & tenants
- Location reads 60/100 on livability (#989 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
- Havana CUSD 126 (town): math 17% / reading 22% proficiency, ranked #448 of 620 in IL (top 72%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Zoned schools: Havana High School (math 15% / reading 24%, grade F, #379 of 693 statewide, top 57%, 279 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 47% district-wide (47 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
- Market conditions: 36 active listings in the ZIP; 7 units permitted in Mason County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $553 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Mason County population projected at -30% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 11 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 3.0% of price.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.70% ✓
- Cap rate
- 12.61%
- Cash-on-cash
- 22.56%
- DSCR
- 2.00
- GRM
- 4.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $86,240
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 421 E Franklin St | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 | 1,232 (0%) | 1mo | $86,000 | $70 | 100 |
| 526 E Main St | 0.28mi | 3/1.5 | 1,348 (+9%) | 7mo | $122,000 | $91 | 63 |
| 855 N Broadway St | 0.46mi | 3/1.0 | 1,216 (-1%) | 12mo | $69,900 | $57 | 63 |
| 321 E Mound St | 0.25mi | 3/3.0 | 1,342 (+9%) | 12mo | $115,000 | $86 | 59 |
| 740 E Laurel Ave | 0.53mi | 3/1.0 | 1,176 (-4%) | 8mo | $82,500 | $70 | 57 |
| 309 N Pearl St | 0.23mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,059 (-14%) | 1mo | $61,000 | $58 | 56 |
| 118 W Clark St | 0.39mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,120 (-9%) | 8mo | $115,000 | $103 | 51 |
| 869 N Pearl St | 0.44mi | 3/1.5 | 1,120 (-9%) | 15mo | $38,000 | $34 | 50 |
| 711 N Plum St | 0.41mi | 3/1.5 | 1,376 (+12%) | 14mo | $71,500 | $52 | 48 |
| 469 S Plum St | 0.71mi | 3/1.0 | 1,136 (-8%) | 15mo | $89,000 | $78 | 37 |
| 525 S Pearl St | 0.72mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,396 (+13%) | 6mo | $81,000 | $58 | 30 |
| 519 S Promenade St | 0.64mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,080 (-12%) | 19mo | $39,500 | $37 | 25 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 15.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.62×
- Total profit
- $13,934
- Equity at exit
- $11,928
- IRR
- 24.2%
- Equity multiple
- 3.10×
- Total profit
- $46,992
- Equity at exit
- $6,917
Cash invested: $22,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
- State Illinois
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 62644
- Home prices YoY
- -14.0%
- Active inventory
- 36
- Price-to-rent
- 4.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,356 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$420
- Tax from tax record
- −$197 /mo · $2,368/yr
- Insurance
- −$33
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$285
- Net cashflow
- $421
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $20,000
- Closing costs
- $2,400
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 2 events
-
2026-04-20status Pending
-
2026-04-09$80,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,368 · $197/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,368 · $197/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,273
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,481
- − Property taxes
- −$2,368
- − Insurance
- −$400
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,302
- − Management
- −$1,302
- − Depreciation
- −$2,327
- Taxable income
- $4,092
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$982
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,071/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Havana CUSD 126
- NCES district ID
- 1718510
- Math proficiency
- 17% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 22% ▼ -16.00%
- Median HH income
- $39,881
- Composite
- 16.52/100
- National rank
- #9181
- State rank
- #448 of 620 in IL
Livability — Havana
- Score
- 60/100
- State rank
- #989
- US rank
- #19077
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Havana, IL
- City population
- 4,657
- Population (ZIP)
- 4,657
Population outlook (Mason County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 12,087 people
- By 2030
- 11,283 · -6.7%
- By 2040
- 9,766 · -19.2%
- By 2050
- 8,421 · -30.3%
- By 2075
- 5,785 · -52.1%
- By 2100
- 3,888 · -67.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (93%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 93% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 3%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 3% Lithuanian 2% Italian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Mason
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+42.2) · D 27.8% · R 70.1% · Other 2.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -48.1pp toward R · 2008: 5.9pp · 2024: -42.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+42.2 2020: R+39.5 2016: R+31.8 2012: R+6.3 2008: D+5.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -18.81%
- Current HPI
- 115.1077
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.59%
- F500 in state
- 60
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 4 | $201B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 4 | $87B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $64B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $55B |
|
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| Retail / Pharmacy | 1 | $148B |
|
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| Agriculture / Food | 1 | $86B |
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Price history
2 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-20 Pending — RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-09 Listed $80,000 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+14.0%/yrLatest (2023): $2,368 · +441.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…