3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,416 sqft ·
Built 1880
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 94 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$3,324/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$2,092
Tax + insurance
−$665
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$698
Net cashflow
$-131/mo
Annual
$-1,574/yr
Cap rate
5.90%
Cash-on-cash
-1.41%
DSCR
0.94
1% rule
0.83%
Cash to close
$111,720
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $399k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-131 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $380k (4.8% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $332k (16.7% below list).
It's been on market 94 days — a 9% lower offer ($363k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $332k (16.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $12k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 76/100 on livability (#59 in MA, #3,372 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime C-, amenities F, cost of living F.
Marlborough (suburban): math 23% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #250 of 302 in MA (top 83%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Zoned schools: Richer (math 20% / reading 31%, grade F, #713 of 938 statewide, top 76%, 533 students, 0% FRL); 1 Lt Charles W. Whitcomb School (math 22% / reading 28%, grade F, #234 of 305 statewide, top 77%, 1,044 students, 0% FRL); Marlborough High (math 42% / reading 43%, grade F, #212 of 343 statewide, top 62%, 1,064 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 38% district-wide (38 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
Watch-outs: built in 1880 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.2%/yr); 74 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 0d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 3,670 units permitted in Middlesex County in 2024 (2,611 in 5+ unit buildings).
Middlesex County population projected at +20% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 5.9% vs local median 3.0% in Marlborough — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 43% of the median local income ($92k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 94 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 17% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1880 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-2QC1GQFB60ZF62
· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29