7-A Versailles St · Marlborough, MA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $915 – $1,699
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 95°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Cash flow +11.5/30.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- DSCR +3.4/10.0
- 1% rule +3.3/10.0
- Rent growth +2.8/5.0
- Schools +2.7/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$399,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Best Buy! Colonial with refinished hardwood floors, bright and sunny throughout. The second floor offers three good-sized bedrooms, with hardwood floors in two and carpet in the third. A possible fourth bedroom or office is located on the first floor next to the kitchen. Refinished floors in the dining and living rooms.Great-sized driveway on the left side of the house and a large backyard, perfect for BBQs or a swing set. Excellent commuting location with easy access to Rt. 20 and 495. Conveniently located near Williams Lake, parks, shops, and restaurants.
Key facts
- Easy access to rt 20
- Large backyard
- 0.23 acre lot
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $399k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-131 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $380k (4.8% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $332k (16.7% below list).
- Recommended offer: $332k (16.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 5.9% vs local median 3.0% in Marlborough — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 76/100 on livability (#59 in MA, #3,372 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime C-, amenities F, cost of living F.
- Marlborough (suburban): math 23% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #250 of 302 in MA (top 83%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Zoned schools: Richer (math 20% / reading 31%, grade F, #713 of 938 statewide, top 76%, 533 students, 0% FRL); 1 Lt Charles W. Whitcomb School (math 22% / reading 28%, grade F, #234 of 305 statewide, top 77%, 1,044 students, 0% FRL); Marlborough High (math 42% / reading 43%, grade F, #212 of 343 statewide, top 62%, 1,064 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 38% district-wide (38 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.2%/yr); 74 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 0d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 3,670 units permitted in Middlesex County in 2024 (2,611 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 43% of the median local income ($92k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $12k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Middlesex County population projected at +20% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 94 days — a 9% lower offer ($363k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1880 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 94 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 17% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1880 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.83% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.90%
- Cash-on-cash
- -1.41%
- DSCR
- 0.94
- GRM
- 10.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $493,178
- List price
- $399,000
- Delta
- -19.10%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Paris St | 0.10mi | 3/1.5 | 1,309 (-8%) | 6mo | $415,000 | $317 | 76 |
| 30 Franklin St | 0.26mi | 3/2.0 | 1,512 (+7%) | 2mo | $510,000 | $337 | 71 |
| 14 Boudreau Ave | 0.40mi | 3/1.0 | 1,437 (+2%) | 9mo | $530,000 | $369 | 71 |
| 102 Liberty St | 0.49mi | 3/2.0 | 1,400 (-1%) | 1mo | $420,000 | $300 | 71 |
| 58 Howland St | 0.34mi | 3/1.0 | 1,358 (-4%) | 8mo | $425,000 | $313 | 70 |
| 94 Liberty St | 0.49mi | 3/1.0 | 1,269 (-10%) | 1mo | $470,000 | $370 | 59 |
| 29 Elm St | 0.44mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,500 (+6%) | 6mo | $475,000 | $317 | 56 |
| 14 Mountain Ave | 0.52mi | 3/2.0 | 1,466 (+4%) | 12mo | $522,500 | $356 | 56 |
| 211 Lincoln St | 0.71mi | 3/1.5 | 1,335 (-6%) | 2mo | $405,000 | $303 | 54 |
| 73 Howland St | 0.38mi | 3/2.0 | 1,260 (-11%) | 8mo | $499,900 | $397 | 54 |
| 130 Hudson St | 0.75mi | 3/2.0 | 1,483 (+5%) | 6mo | $530,000 | $357 | 48 |
| 36 Bicknell St | 0.73mi | 3/1.0 | 1,258 (-11%) | 10mo | $422,000 | $335 | 39 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.16% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -20.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.29×
- Total profit
- $-79,002
- Equity at exit
- $59,492
- IRR
- -18.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.08×
- Total profit
- $-103,246
- Equity at exit
- $34,498
Cash invested: $111,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 20 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State Massachusetts
- 20 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 01752
- Rents YoY
- 1.2%
- Active inventory
- 74
- Price-to-rent
- 10.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,324 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$2,092
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$499 /mo · $5,985/yr
- Insurance
- −$166
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$698
- Net cashflow
- $-131
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $145 | -5% $7 | +0% $-131 | +5% $-269 | +10% $-407 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-394 | -5% $-262 | +0% $-131 | +5% $0 | +10% $131 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $70 | -0.5pp $-30 | base $-131 | +0.5pp $-235 | +1.0pp $-340 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $99,750
- Closing costs
- $11,970
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 4 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 303 Lincoln St Marlborough, MA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1018 | $3,773 | $3.70 | 0d | 51 | 0.51mi |
| 57 Main St Marlborough, MA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 898 | $4,107 | $4.57 | 0d | 87 | 0.91mi |
| 175 Maple St Marlborough, MA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1121 | $2,500 | $2.23 | 0d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 19 Royal Crest Dr Marlborough, MA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $2,380 | $2.80 | 0d | 59 | 1.50mi |
Listing history 15 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $399,000 Active 94 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $399,000 Active 91 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $399,000 Active 90 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $399,000 Active 89 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $399,000 Active 88 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $399,000 Active 86 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $399,000 Active 82 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $399,000 Active 81 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $399,000 Active 80 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $399,000 Active 77 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $399,000 Active 76 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $399,000 Active 75 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $399,000 Active 74 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $399,000 Active 73 DOM
-
2026-03-19$399,000 New 563-char remark
Show marketing remark (563 chars)
Best Buy! Colonial with refinished hardwood floors, bright and sunny throughout. The second floor offers three good-sized bedrooms, with hardwood floors in two and carpet in the third. A possible fourth bedroom or office is located on the first floor next to the kitchen. Refinished floors in the dining and living rooms.Great-sized driveway on the left side of the house and a large backyard, perfect for BBQs or a swing set. Excellent commuting location with easy access to Rt. 20 and 495. Conveniently located near Williams Lake, parks, shops, and restaurants.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $39,892
- − Mortgage interest
- −$22,350
- − Property taxes
- −$5,985
- − Insurance
- −$1,995
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,191
- − Management
- −$3,191
- − Depreciation
- −$11,607
- Taxable loss
- −$8,428
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$2,023
- After-tax cash flow
- $449/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Marlborough
- NCES district ID
- 2507320
- Math proficiency
- 23% ▼ -14.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 34% ▼ -9.00%
- Median HH income
- $71,601
- Composite
- 26.98/100
- National rank
- #7072
- State rank
- #250 of 302 in MA
Livability — Marlborough
- Score
- 76/100
- State rank
- #59
- US rank
- #3372
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Marlborough, MA
- County
- Middlesex County · 1,437,704 people
- City population
- 41,647
- Metro
- Boston-Cambridge-Newton, MA-NH
- Population (ZIP)
- 41,647
- Household income
- $91,968
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2171.0
Population outlook (Middlesex County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,740,269 people
- By 2030
- 1,817,187 · +4.4%
- By 2040
- 1,963,195 · +12.8%
- By 2050
- 2,087,461 · +20.0%
- By 2075
- 2,344,036 · +34.7%
- By 2100
- 2,383,776 · +37.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.62)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 59% Hispanic / Latino 17% Two or more races 16% Asian 5% Black 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Estonian 11% Lithuanian 4% Russian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 29% · Canada, China, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 60% English-only · Other Indo-European 20% Spanish 15% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Middlesex
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+39.5) · D 68.5% · R 29.0% · Other 2.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +9.3pp toward D · 2008: 30.1pp · 2024: 39.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+39.5 2020: D+45.2 2016: D+38.1 2012: D+26.9 2008: D+30.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -415.20%
- Current HPI
- 269.0905
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.16%
- Metro
- Boston-Cambridge-Newton, MA-NH
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.28%
- F500 in state
- 38
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 3 | $17B |
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| Insurance | 2 | $84B |
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| Retail | 2 | $76B |
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| Life Sciences | 1 | $43B |
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| Energy Technology | 1 | $31B |
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| Aerospace / Defense | 1 | $18B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-03-19 Listed $399,000 MLS PIN
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…