2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,100 sqft ·
Built 1981
· Condo
· Active
· 153 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,055/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$891
Tax + insurance
−$283
HOA
−$675
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$432
Net cashflow
$-226/mo
Annual
$-2,708/yr
Cap rate
4.70%
Cash-on-cash
-5.69%
DSCR
0.75
1% rule
1.21%
Cash to close
$47,572
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $170k. Condition is rated fair.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-226 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $137k (19.2% below list).
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $170k).
It's been on market 153 days — a 12% lower offer ($150k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $137k (19.2% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
In year one you build about $18k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $17k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 81/100 on livability (#15 in CT, #1,374 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime C-, employment D+, schools D-.
Bridgeport School District (urban): math 9% / reading 19% proficiency, ranked #151 of 153 in CT (top 99%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 97% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Watch-outs: HOA is 33% of rent.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.3%/yr); 30 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 48% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 852 units permitted in Greater Bridgeport Planning Region in 2024 (698 in 5+ unit buildings).
By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$46k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 44% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
At $2,055/mo this rent would consume 54% of the median local household income ($46k/yr) (locally 910% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 153 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 19% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Moderate: kitchen cabinets
— dated and in need of updating
Moderate: bathroom fixtures
— dated and in need of updating
Minor: exterior paint
— some fading
CashFlowRE · CFR-2R5PC53QVVS6X3
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29