8017 County Road 603

Lake Brownwood, TX 76801

$86,500C

1 bd · 1.0 ba · 672 sqft · Built — · SingleFamily · Pending · 21 DOM

Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)

• Estimated rent: $879/mo
• Mortgage (P&I): −$454
• Tax + insurance: −$88
• HOA: −$0
• Vac / Maint / Mgmt: −$185
• Net cashflow: $153/mo
• Annual: $1,841/yr
• Cap rate: 8.42%
• Cash-on-cash: 7.60%
• DSCR: 1.34
• 1% rule: 1.02%
• Cash to close: $24,220

Investor read

• This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $86k.
• At list price, monthly cash flow is $153 ($2k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($879 rent vs $86k).
• It's been on market 21 days — a 2% lower offer ($85k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• Recommended offer: $85k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $598 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Location reads 67/100 on livability (#513 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A-; Watch: health & safety D+, amenities F, commute F.
• Bangs ISD (rural): math 49% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #178 of 826 in TX (top 22%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
• Zoned schools: J B Stephens El (math 52% / reading 52%, grade C-, #742 of 4,322 statewide, top 19%, 418 students, 71% FRL) — zoned schools average 71% FRL vs 50% district-wide (21 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
• Market conditions: 377 active listings in the ZIP; 142 units permitted in Brown County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
• 2 sale attempts since 11y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
• Climate carrying-cost: severe wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 6→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
• Cap rate 8.4% vs local median 1.6% in Lake Brownwood — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Questions for listing agent

• Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
• Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
• What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
• What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
• How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.