2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,039 sqft ·
Built 1942
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 28 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$988/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$393
Tax + insurance
−$97
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$207
Net cashflow
$291/mo
Annual
$3,490/yr
Cap rate
10.95%
Cash-on-cash
16.64%
DSCR
1.74
1% rule
1.32%
Cash to close
$20,972
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $75k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $291 ($3k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($988 rent vs $75k).
It's been on market 28 days — a 2% lower offer ($74k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $74k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $1k of equity ($518 loan paydown + $751 appreciation (1.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads: area grade C — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
Blacklick Valley SD (town): math 37% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #310 of 539 in PA (top 58%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Watch-outs: built in 1942 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 11 active listings in the ZIP; 64 units permitted in Cambria County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Cambria County population projected at -28% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
3 sale attempts since 11y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $5k (6%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $50k; 50% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
At projected returns (1.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $21k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1942 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-2SAMD287DW2YY4
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29