3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,200 sqft ·
Built 1980
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 39 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,080/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$682
Tax + insurance
−$217
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$227
Net cashflow
$-45/mo
Annual
$-544/yr
Cap rate
5.87%
Cash-on-cash
-1.50%
DSCR
0.93
1% rule
0.83%
Cash to close
$36,400
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $130k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-45 ($-544/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $123k (5.0% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $108k (16.9% below list).
It's been on market 39 days — a 3% lower offer ($126k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $108k (16.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $5k of equity ($899 loan paydown + $4k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
Milburn (rural): math 10% / reading 25% proficiency, ranked #440 of 513 in OK (top 86%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 70% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Market conditions: 12 active listings in the ZIP; 2 units permitted in Johnston County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
3 sale attempts since 4y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $30k (19%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $36k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 7, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$30k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 39 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 17% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-2T7ZM66P1Z6BDR
· Data 1 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29