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11488 State Hwy 78
D- Composite 39.85
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +11.4/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Appreciation +5.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +3.3/10.0
  • DSCR +3.3/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.8/10.0

$129,999

11488 State Hwy 78 · Emet, OK 73450
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,200 sqft · SingleFamily · 37 Days on market
Built 1980 1.61 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Perfect first starter right outside Milburn Oklahoma priced to move! Home features gorgeous over sized 1.6 acre lot with beautiful mature pecan and oak trees. Home has a large fenced in side yard and a large shed. Nice covered from porch to sit on in the evenings. Home comes with a new window units, refrigerator and washer and dryer! Blue River and Tishomingo Wild Life Refuge is close by as well if you enjoy fishing or swimming. This home is priced to sell and wont last long!

Key facts

  • Covered front porch
  • 1.61 acre lot
  • Built 1980

Tags

OVERSIZED 1.6 ACRE LOTMATURE PECAN AND OAK TREESLARGE FENCED SIDE YARDSPACIOUS STORAGE SHEDCOVERED FRONT PORCHSHORT DRIVE FROM BLUE RIVER

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Security: No safety shelter
  • Utilities: Cable available; Electricity available; Natural gas available; Phone available; Water available; Well water; Aerobic septic
  • Home design: Single-story; Faces west; Slab foundation
  • Construction: Steel construction; Metal roof; Built (year source: public records)
  • Exterior features: Covered porch; Dog run; Shed(s); Partial fencing; Mature trees

Interior

  • Kitchen: Cooktop; Oven; Range; Dishwasher
  • Flooring: Carpet
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Gas heating; Window air conditioning units
  • Interior features: Aluminum-framed windows; Wood countertops; Ceiling fan(s); Gas oven connection; Other interior features
  • Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Electric dryer hookup; Electric water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $130k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-45 ($-544/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $123k (5.0% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $108k (16.9% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $108k (16.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Milburn (rural): math 10% / reading 25% proficiency, ranked #440 of 513 in OK (top 86%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 70% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 12 active listings in the ZIP; 2 units permitted in Johnston County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $5k of equity ($899 loan paydown + $4k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
  • At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $36k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 7, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$30k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 37 days — a 3% lower offer ($126k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 4y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $30k (19%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Recommended offer $107,980 (16.9% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 37 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 17% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.83%
Cap rate
5.87%
Cash-on-cash
-1.50%
DSCR
0.93
GRM
10.0

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
6.1%
Equity multiple
1.35×
Total profit
$12,788
Equity at exit
$58,453
10-year hold
IRR
9.0%
Equity multiple
2.36×
Total profit
$49,615
Equity at exit
$90,083

Cash invested: $36,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Oklahoma
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+20
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day notice; strongly landlord-favorable.

ZIP-level market 73450

Active inventory
12
Price-to-rent
10.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,080 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$682
Tax est. 1.5%
$162 /mo · $1,950/yr
Insurance
$54
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$227
Net cashflow
$-45

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,137
Max offer price $123,437
Occupancy floor 99%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $44 -5% $0 +0% $-45 +5% $-90 +10% $-135
Rent -10% $-131 -5% $-88 +0% $-45 +5% $-3 +10% $40
Rate -1.0pp $20 -0.5pp $-12 base $-45 +0.5pp $-79 +1.0pp $-113

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$32,500
Closing costs
$3,900
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 22 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $129,999 Active 37 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    price $129,999 Active 36 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    price $120,999 Active 36 DOM
  4. 2026-06-17
    days on market $134,999 Active 36 DOM
  5. 2026-06-16
    days on market $134,999 Active 35 DOM
  6. 2026-06-15
    days on market $134,999 Active 34 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $134,999 Active 32 DOM
  8. 2026-06-12
    pricedays on market $134,999 Active 31 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $139,999 Active 28 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $139,999 Active 27 DOM
  11. 2026-06-08
    days on market $139,999 Active 26 DOM
  12. 2026-06-05
    days on market $139,999 Active 24 DOM
  13. 2026-06-04
    days on market $139,999 Active 22 DOM
  14. 2026-06-03
    pricedays on market $139,999 Active 21 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $149,999 Active 20 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $149,999 Active 19 DOM
  17. 2026-05-12
    listed $159,999 Active
  18. 2022-08-30
    soldstatus $119,000 Closed 480-char remark
    Show marketing remark (480 chars)

    Perfect first starter right outside Milburn Oklahoma priced to move! Home features gorgeous over sized 1.6 acre lot with beautiful mature pecan and oak trees. Home has a large fenced in side yard and a large shed. Nice covered from porch to sit on in the evenings. Home comes with a new window units, refrigerator and washer and dryer! Blue River and Tishomingo Wild Life Refuge is close by as well if you enjoy fishing or swimming. This home is priced to sell and wont last long!

  19. 2022-07-19
    status Pending 480-char remark
    Show marketing remark (480 chars)

    Perfect first starter right outside Milburn Oklahoma priced to move! Home features gorgeous over sized 1.6 acre lot with beautiful mature pecan and oak trees. Home has a large fenced in side yard and a large shed. Nice covered from porch to sit on in the evenings. Home comes with a new window units, refrigerator and washer and dryer! Blue River and Tishomingo Wild Life Refuge is close by as well if you enjoy fishing or swimming. This home is priced to sell and wont last long!

  20. 2022-07-12
    status Active 480-char remark
    Show marketing remark (480 chars)

    Perfect first starter right outside Milburn Oklahoma priced to move! Home features gorgeous over sized 1.6 acre lot with beautiful mature pecan and oak trees. Home has a large fenced in side yard and a large shed. Nice covered from porch to sit on in the evenings. Home comes with a new window units, refrigerator and washer and dryer! Blue River and Tishomingo Wild Life Refuge is close by as well if you enjoy fishing or swimming. This home is priced to sell and wont last long!

  21. 2022-06-18
    status Pending 480-char remark
    Show marketing remark (480 chars)

    Perfect first starter right outside Milburn Oklahoma priced to move! Home features gorgeous over sized 1.6 acre lot with beautiful mature pecan and oak trees. Home has a large fenced in side yard and a large shed. Nice covered from porch to sit on in the evenings. Home comes with a new window units, refrigerator and washer and dryer! Blue River and Tishomingo Wild Life Refuge is close by as well if you enjoy fishing or swimming. This home is priced to sell and wont last long!

  22. 2022-06-13
    listed $119,000 Active 480-char remark
    Show marketing remark (480 chars)

    Perfect first starter right outside Milburn Oklahoma priced to move! Home features gorgeous over sized 1.6 acre lot with beautiful mature pecan and oak trees. Home has a large fenced in side yard and a large shed. Nice covered from porch to sit on in the evenings. Home comes with a new window units, refrigerator and washer and dryer! Blue River and Tishomingo Wild Life Refuge is close by as well if you enjoy fishing or swimming. This home is priced to sell and wont last long!

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$12,958
− Mortgage interest
−$7,282
− Property taxes
−$1,950
− Insurance
−$650
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,037
− Management
−$1,037
− Depreciation
−$3,782
Taxable loss
−$2,779
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$667
After-tax cash flow
$123/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Milburn
NCES district ID
4019980
Math proficiency
10% ▼ -5.00%
Reading proficiency
25% ▲ 5.00%
Median HH income
$39,713
Composite
18.18/100
National rank
#14071
State rank
#440 of 513 in OK

Livability — Emet

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Census place
Emet, OK
Population (ZIP)
1,397

Population outlook (Johnston County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
11,201 people
By 2030
11,244 · +0.4%
By 2040
11,212 · +0.1%
By 2050
10,993 · -1.9%
By 2075
10,708 · -4.4%
By 2100
10,764 · -3.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.55)
Race & ethnicity
White 67% Two or more races 18% Native American 12% Black 2% Hispanic / Latino 2%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 2% Serbian 2% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
98% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Johnston

2024 margin
Solid R (+65.7) · D 16.2% · R 81.8% · Other 2.0%
2008→2024 swing
-28.8pp toward R · 2008: -36.9pp · 2024: -65.7pp
All cycles
2024: R+65.7 2020: R+63.6 2016: R+57.5 2012: R+40.0 2008: R+36.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
Current HPI
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.55%
F500 in state
6

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OK)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+34.5% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-12 Listed $159,999 MLS Technology, Inc.
  • 2022-08-30 Sold (MLS) $119,000 MLS Technology, Inc.
  • 2022-07-19 Pending MLS Technology, Inc.
  • 2022-07-12 Relisted MLS Technology, Inc.
  • 2022-06-18 Pending MLS Technology, Inc.
  • 2022-06-13 Listed $119,000 MLS Technology, Inc.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…