3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
957 sqft ·
Built 1960
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 97 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,505/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$522
Tax + insurance
−$87
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$316
Net cashflow
$580/mo
Annual
$6,957/yr
Cap rate
13.29%
Cash-on-cash
24.97%
DSCR
2.11
1% rule
1.51%
Cash to close
$27,860
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $100k. Condition is rated fair.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $580 ($7k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $100k).
It's been on market 97 days — a 9% lower offer ($91k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $91k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $3k of equity ($688 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (2.4% local appreciation)).
Location reads 68/100 on livability (#260 in VA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D+, amenities F, commute F.
Scott County Public School District (rural): math 66% / reading 73% proficiency, ranked #33 of 131 in VA (top 25%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: Duffield-Pattonsville Primary (math 67% / reading 72%, grade A-, #313 of 1,108 statewide, top 32%, 286 students, 78% FRL); Rye Cove Intermediate (math 42% / reading 72%, grade B, #178 of 342 statewide, top 53%, 153 students, 78% FRL); Rye Cove High (math 57% / reading 72%, grade B-, #213 of 319 statewide, top 69%, 279 students, 76% FRL) — zoned schools average 77% FRL vs 48% district-wide (29 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Market conditions: 47 active listings in the ZIP; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 22 units permitted in Scott County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Scott County population projected at -24% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Current owner paid $32k; list at $100k implies a 211% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (2.4% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
At $1,505/mo this rent would consume 49% of the median local household income ($37k/yr) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 97 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Major: roof
— Signs of wear and discoloration suggest a major issue that needs addressing.
Major: siding
— Peeling paint and chipping paint indicate a need for repainting or replacement.
Major: flooring
— Worn flooring suggests a need for replacement.
Major: HVAC system
— The system appears old and may need replacement or repair.
Major: fencing
— The fencing is in poor condition and may need repair or replacement.
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· Data 14 min agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29