158 Grandview Dr · Duffield, VA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $666 – $1,236
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 98°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the A grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Schools +6.4/10.0
- Appreciation +6.2/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.2/5.0
$99,500
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Fixer upper with Heart! Opportunity awaits with his charming 3 bedroom 1 bath home nestled on just over half an acre of level usable land. This property offers plenty of potential for the right buyer to make it their own. Enjoy peaceful surroundings, a spacious yard perfect for gardening, entertaining or future expansion.
Key facts
- Spacious yard
- Level usable land
- 0.7 acre lot
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $100k. Condition is rated fair.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $580 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $100k).
- Recommended offer: $91k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 68/100 on livability (#260 in VA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D+, amenities F, commute F.
- Scott County Public School District (rural): math 66% / reading 73% proficiency, ranked #33 of 131 in VA (top 25%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Duffield-Pattonsville Primary (math 67% / reading 72%, grade A-, #313 of 1,108 statewide, top 32%, 286 students, 78% FRL); Rye Cove Intermediate (math 42% / reading 72%, grade B, #178 of 342 statewide, top 53%, 153 students, 78% FRL); Rye Cove High (math 57% / reading 72%, grade B-, #213 of 319 statewide, top 69%, 279 students, 76% FRL) — zoned schools average 77% FRL vs 48% district-wide (29 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: 47 active listings in the ZIP; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 22 units permitted in Scott County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $1,505/mo this rent would consume 49% of the median local household income ($37k/yr) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $3k of equity ($688 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (2.4% local appreciation)).
- Scott County population projected at -24% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (2.4% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 96 days — a 9% lower offer ($91k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $32k; list at $100k implies a 211% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 96 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
- Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.51% ✓
- Cap rate
- 13.29%
- Cash-on-cash
- 24.97%
- DSCR
- 2.11
- GRM
- 5.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $148,109
- List price
- $99,500
- Delta
- -32.82%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 1 within 2.0 mi
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2537 Rye Cove Memorial Rd | 0.12mi | 1/1.0 (-2) | 924 (-3%) | 4mo | $160,000 | $173 | 75 |
| 3732 Bishoptown Rd | 1.42mi | 3/2.0 | 1,152 (+20%) | 20mo | $145,000 | $126 | 20 |
| 2385 Bishoptown Rd | 2.18mi | 3/2.0 | 1,188 (+24%) | 52mo | $47,000 | $40 | 16 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
2.39% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 29.9%
- Equity multiple
- 2.64×
- Total profit
- $45,714
- Equity at exit
- $41,365
- IRR
- 30.9%
- Equity multiple
- 5.13×
- Total profit
- $115,014
- Equity at exit
- $61,239
Cash invested: $27,860 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning
- State Virginia
- 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning · D+2
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 24244
- Home prices YoY
- 1.3%
- Active inventory
- 47
- Price-to-rent
- 5.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,505 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$522
- Tax from tax record
- −$46 /mo · $551/yr
- Insurance
- −$41
- HOA
- −$0
- Lot rent
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$316
- Net cashflow
- $580
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $636 | -5% $608 | +0% $580 | +5% $552 | +10% $523 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $461 | -5% $520 | +0% $580 | +5% $639 | +10% $699 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $630 | -0.5pp $605 | base $580 | +0.5pp $554 | +1.0pp $528 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $24,875
- Closing costs
- $2,985
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Property features AI
Exterior
- Utilities
- Public waterSeptic tank sewer
- Home design
- Single-family houseOne storyResidential property
- Construction
- Brick and vinyl siding exteriorBlock foundationShingle roofBuilt as a house (year built not provided)
- Exterior features
- Front porchFrench doorsHas a viewLevel topography
Interior
- Kitchen
- Electric rangeRefrigerator
- Bedrooms
- Total rooms: 8
- Flooring
- CarpetVinyl
- Bathrooms
- 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling
- Heat pump heatingHeat pump cooling
- Interior features
- Eat-in kitchenDouble-pane windows
Listing history 50 events
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2026-09-23days on market $99,500 Active 96 DOM
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2026-09-21days on market $99,500 Active 94 DOM
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2026-09-20days on market $99,500 Active 93 DOM
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2026-09-19days on market $99,500 Active 92 DOM
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2026-09-19statusdays on market $99,500 Active 91 DOM
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2026-09-14days on market $99,500 Active Under Contract 90 DOM
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2026-09-13days on market $99,500 Active Under Contract 89 DOM
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2026-09-12days on market $99,500 Active Under Contract 88 DOM
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2026-09-11days on market $99,500 Active Under Contract 87 DOM
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2026-09-05days on market $99,500 Active Under Contract 81 DOM
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2026-09-04days on market $99,500 Active Under Contract 80 DOM
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2026-09-03days on market $99,500 Active Under Contract 79 DOM
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2026-09-02days on market $99,500 Active Under Contract 78 DOM
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2026-08-29days on market $99,500 Active Under Contract 74 DOM
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2026-08-28days on market $99,500 Active Under Contract 73 DOM
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2026-08-27days on market $99,500 Active Under Contract 72 DOM
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2026-08-26days on market $99,500 Active Under Contract 71 DOM
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2026-08-25days on market $99,500 Active Under Contract 70 DOM
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2026-08-24days on market $99,500 Active Under Contract 69 DOM
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2026-08-23days on market $99,500 Active Under Contract 68 DOM
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2026-08-22days on market $99,500 Active Under Contract 67 DOM
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2026-08-21statusdays on market $99,500 Active Under Contract 66 DOM
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2026-08-20days on market $99,500 Active 65 DOM
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2026-08-19days on market $99,500 Active 64 DOM
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2026-08-18days on market $99,500 Active 63 DOM
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2026-08-17days on market $99,500 Active 62 DOM
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2026-08-16days on market $99,500 Active 61 DOM
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2026-08-15days on market $99,500 Active 60 DOM
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2026-08-14days on market $99,500 Active 59 DOM
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2026-08-13days on market $99,500 Active 58 DOM
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2026-08-12days on market $99,500 Active 57 DOM
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2026-08-11days on market $99,500 Active 56 DOM
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2026-08-10days on market $99,500 Active 55 DOM
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2026-08-09days on market $99,500 Active 54 DOM
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2026-08-08days on market $99,500 Active 53 DOM
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2026-08-07days on market $99,500 Active 52 DOM
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2026-08-06days on market $99,500 Active 51 DOM
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2026-08-05days on market $99,500 Active 50 DOM
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2026-08-04days on market $99,500 Active 49 DOM
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2026-08-03days on market $99,500 Active 48 DOM
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2026-07-31days on market $99,500 Active 45 DOM
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2026-07-30days on market $99,500 Active 44 DOM
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2026-07-29days on market $99,500 Active 43 DOM
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2026-07-27days on market $99,500 Active 41 DOM
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2026-07-26days on market $99,500 Active 40 DOM
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2026-07-24days on market $99,500 Active 38 DOM
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2026-07-23days on market $99,500 Active 37 DOM
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2026-07-22days on market $99,500 Active 36 DOM
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2026-07-21days on market $99,500 Active 35 DOM
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2026-07-20days on market $99,500 Active 34 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast VA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $551 · $46/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $816 · $68/mo
- Expected delta
- +$265/yr (+$22/mo · 48.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,060
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,574
- − Property taxes
- −$551
- − Insurance
- −$498
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,445
- − Management
- −$1,445
- − Depreciation
- −$2,895
- Taxable income
- $5,654
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,357
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,600/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 9 photos
This fixer-upper home requires significant repairs and maintenance, including a new roof, siding, flooring, and HVAC system. However, with proper updates, it has the potential to become a charming and valuable property.
Components & finishes AI
Repairs flagged
- Major roof — Signs of wear and discoloration suggest a major issue that needs addressing.
- Major siding — Peeling paint and chipping paint indicate a need for repainting or replacement.
- Major flooring — Worn flooring suggests a need for replacement.
- Major HVAC system — The system appears old and may need replacement or repair.
- Major fencing — The fencing is in poor condition and may need repair or replacement.
Value-add opportunities
- Resale Painting the exterior — Fresh paint can significantly improve the home's curb appeal and value. ↑
- Resale Landscaping improvements — A well-maintained yard can enhance the home's appeal and value. ↑
- Both HVAC system replacement — A new HVAC system can improve comfort and energy efficiency, benefiting both resale and rental value. ↑
- Resale Flooring replacement — New flooring can make the home more attractive and increase its value. ↑
- Resale Fencing repair/replacement — A repaired or replaced fence can enhance the home's curb appeal and security. ↑
ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Moderate scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.
Zoned Schools
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Scott County Public School District
- NCES district ID
- 5103480
- Math proficiency
- 66% ▼ -26.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 73% ▼ -12.00%
- Median HH income
- $36,567
- Composite
- 57.65/100
- National rank
- #1061
- State rank
- #33 of 131 in VA
Livability — Duffield
- Score
- 68/100
- State rank
- #260
- US rank
- #9124
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Scott · 20,405 people
- Metro
- Kingsport-Bristol, TN-VA
- Population (ZIP)
- 5,531
- Household income
- $37,224
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1% of renters
Population outlook (Scott County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 20,405 people
- By 2030
- 19,379 · -5.0%
- By 2040
- 17,325 · -15.1%
- By 2050
- 15,464 · -24.2%
- By 2075
- 11,845 · -42.0%
- By 2100
- 8,516 · -58.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (96%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 96% Black 2% Two or more races 2% Hispanic / Latino 1%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 1% Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 0%
- Languages at home
- 99% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Scott
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+70.4) · D 14.5% · R 84.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -27.3pp toward R · 2008: -43.1pp · 2024: -70.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+70.4 2020: R+67.8 2016: R+66.3 2012: R+50.6 2008: R+43.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 2.39%
- Current HPI
- 192.6919
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.40%
- F500 in state
- 50
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in VA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Aerospace / Defense | 4 | $236B |
|
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| Technology / Defense | 3 | $32B |
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| Financial Services | 2 | $176B |
|
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| Utilities | 2 | $27B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $25B |
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| Technology | 2 | $15B |
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Price history
+210.9% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-07-14 Price Changed $99,500 TVRMLS
- 2026-06-16 Listed $115,000 TVRMLS
- 1992-06-01 Sold (Public Records) $32,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+2.0%/yrLatest (2025): $551 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…