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158 Grandview Dr
A Composite 85.72
Why this score? — see what drove the A grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Schools +6.4/10.0
  • Appreciation +6.2/10.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.2/5.0

$99,500

158 Grandview Dr · Duffield, VA 24244
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 957 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 96 Days on market
Built 1960 Fair condition 0.70 ac lot $104/sqft · 33% below area Est $148k · 33% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Fixer upper with Heart! Opportunity awaits with his charming 3 bedroom 1 bath home nestled on just over half an acre of level usable land. This property offers plenty of potential for the right buyer to make it their own. Enjoy peaceful surroundings, a spacious yard perfect for gardening, entertaining or future expansion.

Key facts

  • Spacious yard
  • Level usable land
  • 0.7 acre lot

Tags

LEVEL USABLE LANDSPACIOUS YARDPEACEFUL SURROUNDINGS

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Costco Walmart Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 6.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $100k. Condition is rated fair.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $580 ($7k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $100k).
  • Recommended offer: $91k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 68/100 on livability (#260 in VA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D+, amenities F, commute F.
  • Scott County Public School District (rural): math 66% / reading 73% proficiency, ranked #33 of 131 in VA (top 25%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Zoned schools: Duffield-Pattonsville Primary (math 67% / reading 72%, grade A-, #313 of 1,108 statewide, top 32%, 286 students, 78% FRL); Rye Cove Intermediate (math 42% / reading 72%, grade B, #178 of 342 statewide, top 53%, 153 students, 78% FRL); Rye Cove High (math 57% / reading 72%, grade B-, #213 of 319 statewide, top 69%, 279 students, 76% FRL) — zoned schools average 77% FRL vs 48% district-wide (29 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: 47 active listings in the ZIP; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 22 units permitted in Scott County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $1,505/mo this rent would consume 49% of the median local household income ($37k/yr) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $3k of equity ($688 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (2.4% local appreciation)).
  • Scott County population projected at -24% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (2.4% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 96 days — a 9% lower offer ($91k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • Current owner paid $32k; list at $100k implies a 211% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Recommended offer $90,545 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 96 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
  3. Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.51%
Cap rate
13.29%
Cash-on-cash
24.97%
DSCR
2.11
GRM
5.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$148,109
List price
$99,500
Delta
-32.82%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
1 within 2.0 mi
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
2537 Rye Cove Memorial Rd 0.12mi 1/1.0 (-2) 924 (-3%) 4mo $160,000 $173 75
3732 Bishoptown Rd 1.42mi 3/2.0 1,152 (+20%) 20mo $145,000 $126 20
2385 Bishoptown Rd 2.18mi 3/2.0 1,188 (+24%) 52mo $47,000 $40 16

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

2.39% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
29.9%
Equity multiple
2.64×
Total profit
$45,714
Equity at exit
$41,365
10-year hold
IRR
30.9%
Equity multiple
5.13×
Total profit
$115,014
Equity at exit
$61,239

Cash invested: $27,860 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning
State Virginia
55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning · D+2
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
VRLTA gives some tenant protections; Northern Virginia courts slower; rural VA landlord-leaning.

ZIP-level market 24244

Home prices YoY
1.3%
Active inventory
47
Price-to-rent
5.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,505 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$522
Tax from tax record
$46 /mo · $551/yr
Insurance
$41
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$316
Net cashflow
$580

Break-even live

Break-even rent $771
Max offer price $99,500
Occupancy floor 56%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $636 -5% $608 +0% $580 +5% $552 +10% $523
Rent -10% $461 -5% $520 +0% $580 +5% $639 +10% $699
Rate -1.0pp $630 -0.5pp $605 base $580 +0.5pp $554 +1.0pp $528

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$24,875
Closing costs
$2,985
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Property features AI

Exterior

Utilities
Public waterSeptic tank sewer
Home design
Single-family houseOne storyResidential property
Construction
Brick and vinyl siding exteriorBlock foundationShingle roofBuilt as a house (year built not provided)
Exterior features
Front porchFrench doorsHas a viewLevel topography

Interior

Kitchen
Electric rangeRefrigerator
Bedrooms
Total rooms: 8
Flooring
CarpetVinyl
Bathrooms
1 full bathroom
Heating & cooling
Heat pump heatingHeat pump cooling
Interior features
Eat-in kitchenDouble-pane windows

Listing history 50 events

  1. 2026-09-23
    days on market $99,500 Active 96 DOM
  2. 2026-09-21
    days on market $99,500 Active 94 DOM
  3. 2026-09-20
    days on market $99,500 Active 93 DOM
  4. 2026-09-19
    days on market $99,500 Active 92 DOM
  5. 2026-09-19
    statusdays on market $99,500 Active 91 DOM
  6. 2026-09-14
    days on market $99,500 Active Under Contract 90 DOM
  7. 2026-09-13
    days on market $99,500 Active Under Contract 89 DOM
  8. 2026-09-12
    days on market $99,500 Active Under Contract 88 DOM
  9. 2026-09-11
    days on market $99,500 Active Under Contract 87 DOM
  10. 2026-09-05
    days on market $99,500 Active Under Contract 81 DOM
  11. 2026-09-04
    days on market $99,500 Active Under Contract 80 DOM
  12. 2026-09-03
    days on market $99,500 Active Under Contract 79 DOM
  13. 2026-09-02
    days on market $99,500 Active Under Contract 78 DOM
  14. 2026-08-29
    days on market $99,500 Active Under Contract 74 DOM
  15. 2026-08-28
    days on market $99,500 Active Under Contract 73 DOM
  16. 2026-08-27
    days on market $99,500 Active Under Contract 72 DOM
  17. 2026-08-26
    days on market $99,500 Active Under Contract 71 DOM
  18. 2026-08-25
    days on market $99,500 Active Under Contract 70 DOM
  19. 2026-08-24
    days on market $99,500 Active Under Contract 69 DOM
  20. 2026-08-23
    days on market $99,500 Active Under Contract 68 DOM
  21. 2026-08-22
    days on market $99,500 Active Under Contract 67 DOM
  22. 2026-08-21
    statusdays on market $99,500 Active Under Contract 66 DOM
  23. 2026-08-20
    days on market $99,500 Active 65 DOM
  24. 2026-08-19
    days on market $99,500 Active 64 DOM
  25. 2026-08-18
    days on market $99,500 Active 63 DOM
  26. 2026-08-17
    days on market $99,500 Active 62 DOM
  27. 2026-08-16
    days on market $99,500 Active 61 DOM
  28. 2026-08-15
    days on market $99,500 Active 60 DOM
  29. 2026-08-14
    days on market $99,500 Active 59 DOM
  30. 2026-08-13
    days on market $99,500 Active 58 DOM
  31. 2026-08-12
    days on market $99,500 Active 57 DOM
  32. 2026-08-11
    days on market $99,500 Active 56 DOM
  33. 2026-08-10
    days on market $99,500 Active 55 DOM
  34. 2026-08-09
    days on market $99,500 Active 54 DOM
  35. 2026-08-08
    days on market $99,500 Active 53 DOM
  36. 2026-08-07
    days on market $99,500 Active 52 DOM
  37. 2026-08-06
    days on market $99,500 Active 51 DOM
  38. 2026-08-05
    days on market $99,500 Active 50 DOM
  39. 2026-08-04
    days on market $99,500 Active 49 DOM
  40. 2026-08-03
    days on market $99,500 Active 48 DOM
  41. 2026-07-31
    days on market $99,500 Active 45 DOM
  42. 2026-07-30
    days on market $99,500 Active 44 DOM
  43. 2026-07-29
    days on market $99,500 Active 43 DOM
  44. 2026-07-27
    days on market $99,500 Active 41 DOM
  45. 2026-07-26
    days on market $99,500 Active 40 DOM
  46. 2026-07-24
    days on market $99,500 Active 38 DOM
  47. 2026-07-23
    days on market $99,500 Active 37 DOM
  48. 2026-07-22
    days on market $99,500 Active 36 DOM
  49. 2026-07-21
    days on market $99,500 Active 35 DOM
  50. 2026-07-20
    days on market $99,500 Active 34 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast VA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$551 · $46/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$816 · $68/mo
Expected delta
+$265/yr (+$22/mo · 48.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$18,060
− Mortgage interest
−$5,574
− Property taxes
−$551
− Insurance
−$498
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,445
− Management
−$1,445
− Depreciation
−$2,895
Taxable income
$5,654
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,357
After-tax cash flow
$5,600/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 9 photos

Fair 45/100 Moderate rehab Est. rehab $23,925–$43,065 screening

This fixer-upper home requires significant repairs and maintenance, including a new roof, siding, flooring, and HVAC system. However, with proper updates, it has the potential to become a charming and valuable property.

Components & finishes AI

Flooring tile

Repairs flagged

  • Major roof — Signs of wear and discoloration suggest a major issue that needs addressing.
  • Major siding — Peeling paint and chipping paint indicate a need for repainting or replacement.
  • Major flooring — Worn flooring suggests a need for replacement.
  • Major HVAC system — The system appears old and may need replacement or repair.
  • Major fencing — The fencing is in poor condition and may need repair or replacement.

Value-add opportunities

  • Resale Painting the exterior — Fresh paint can significantly improve the home's curb appeal and value.
  • Resale Landscaping improvements — A well-maintained yard can enhance the home's appeal and value.
  • Both HVAC system replacement — A new HVAC system can improve comfort and energy efficiency, benefiting both resale and rental value.
  • Resale Flooring replacement — New flooring can make the home more attractive and increase its value.
  • Resale Fencing repair/replacement — A repaired or replaced fence can enhance the home's curb appeal and security.

ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Moderate scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.

C Composite school gradezoned avg 64/100

Zoned Schools

Elementary Duffield-Pattonsville Primary A- VA #313/1,108 Nat'l #3,487/41,679 Middle Rye Cove Intermediate B VA #178/342 Nat'l #2,208/14,009 High Rye Cove High B- VA #213/319 Nat'l #2,821/17,239

Schools (NCES district)

District
Scott County Public School District
NCES district ID
5103480
Math proficiency
66% ▼ -26.00%
Reading proficiency
73% ▼ -12.00%
Median HH income
$36,567
Composite
57.65/100
National rank
#1061
State rank
#33 of 131 in VA
C Composite livability gradescore 68/100

Livability — Duffield

Score
68/100
State rank
#260
US rank
#9124

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C Employment D+ Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Scott · 20,405 people
Metro
Kingsport-Bristol, TN-VA
Population (ZIP)
5,531
Household income
$37,224
Rent vs Own
26.9% rent · 73.1% own
Severe rent burden
1% of renters

Population outlook (Scott County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
20,405 people
By 2030
19,379 · -5.0%
By 2040
17,325 · -15.1%
By 2050
15,464 · -24.2%
By 2075
11,845 · -42.0%
By 2100
8,516 · -58.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (96%)
Race & ethnicity
White 96% Black 2% Two or more races 2% Hispanic / Latino 1%
Common ancestry
Italian 1% Serbian 1%
Foreign-born
0%
Languages at home
99% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Scott

2024 margin
Solid R (+70.4) · D 14.5% · R 84.9%
2008→2024 swing
-27.3pp toward R · 2008: -43.1pp · 2024: -70.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+70.4 2020: R+67.8 2016: R+66.3 2012: R+50.6 2008: R+43.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Price history

+210.9% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-07-14 Price Changed $99,500 TVRMLS
  • 2026-06-16 Listed $115,000 TVRMLS
  • 1992-06-01 Sold (Public Records) $32,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+2.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $551 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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