126 N 500 E #81

Vernal, UT 84078

$164,900D+

3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,300 sqft · Built 2026 · Manufactured · Active · 23 DOM

Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)

• Estimated rent: $1,607/mo
• Mortgage (P&I): −$865
• Tax + insurance: −$275
• HOA: −$0
• Vac / Maint / Mgmt: −$337
• Net cashflow: $130/mo
• Annual: $1,558/yr
• Cap rate: 7.24%
• Cash-on-cash: 3.37%
• DSCR: 1.15
• 1% rule: 0.97%
• Cash to close: $46,172

Investor read

• This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $165k. Condition is rated good.
• At list price, monthly cash flow is $130 ($2k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $161k (2.6% below list).
• It's been on market 23 days — a 2% lower offer ($162k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• Recommended offer: $161k (2.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Location reads 75/100 on livability (#60 in UT, #3,813 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, amenities A; Watch: crime D+, health & safety D+, employment F.
• Uintah District (town): math 34% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #60 of 80 in UT (top 75%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Zoned schools: Naples School (math 39% / reading 36%, grade F, #352 of 585 statewide, top 60%, 502 students, 56% FRL); Uintah Middle School (math 37% / reading 42%, grade F, #75 of 138 statewide, top 56%, 669 students, 40% FRL); Uintah High (math 18% / reading 36%, grade F, #131 of 171 statewide, top 79%, 1,808 students, 31% FRL).
• Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.1%/yr); 276 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 85 units permitted in Uintah County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
• Uintah County population projected at +72% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
• 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
• Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Questions for listing agent

• Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
• Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
• Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
• The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
• What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
• What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
• How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.