2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
600 sqft ·
Built 1943
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 13 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$599/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$393
Tax + insurance
−$88
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$126
Net cashflow
$-8/mo
Annual
$-102/yr
Cap rate
6.16%
Cash-on-cash
-0.48%
DSCR
0.98
1% rule
0.80%
Cash to close
$21,000
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $75k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-8 ($-102/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $74k (2.0% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $60k (20.1% below list).
Only 13 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $60k (20.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $1k of equity ($519 loan paydown + $942 appreciation (1.3% local appreciation)).
Location reads 56/100 on livability (#1,297 in TX) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: schools F, crime D-, amenities F.
Tulia ISD (town): math 22% / reading 21% proficiency, ranked #768 of 826 in TX (top 93%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 68% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Watch-outs: built in 1943 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 47 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby.
Swisher County population projected at -15% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
At projected returns (1.3% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $21k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
Built in 1943 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-2XM6RR8590PCB1
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29