3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,000 sqft ·
Built 1967
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 9 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,987/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,306
Tax + insurance
−$186
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$417
Net cashflow
$78/mo
Annual
$935/yr
Cap rate
6.67%
Cash-on-cash
1.34%
DSCR
1.06
1% rule
0.80%
Cash to close
$69,720
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $249k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $78 ($935/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $199k (20.2% below list).
Only 9 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $199k (20.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 72/100 on livability (#96 in NC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, health & safety A+, housing A-; Watch: crime F.
Buncombe County Schools (suburban): math 45% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #72 of 178 in NC (top 40%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Johnston Elementary (math 12% / reading 17%, grade F, #1,331 of 1,410 statewide, top 96%, 203 students, 98% FRL); Erwin Middle (math 37% / reading 37%, grade F, #262 of 475 statewide, top 57%, 568 students, 74% FRL); Erwin High (math 52% / reading 49%, grade D+, #306 of 535 statewide, top 57%, 1,096 students, 64% FRL) — zoned schools average 79% FRL vs 47% district-wide (31 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Zoned-school proficiency averages 34% at this address vs 48% district-wide (-14 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Buncombe County Schools average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.1%/yr); 333 active listings in the ZIP; 20 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 3,305 units permitted in Buncombe County in 2024 (1,855 in 5+ unit buildings).
Buncombe County population projected at +24% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Current owner paid $72k; list at $249k implies a 246% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Cap rate 6.7% vs local median 2.5% in Asheville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 38% of the median local income ($63k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1967 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-2Z06CSC0SW5W65
· Data 4 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29