3 bd · 1.5 ba ·
911 sqft ·
Built 1930
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 252 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,250/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$787
Tax + insurance
−$250
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$262
Net cashflow
$-49/mo
Annual
$-594/yr
Cap rate
5.90%
Cash-on-cash
-1.41%
DSCR
0.94
1% rule
0.83%
Cash to close
$42,000
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $150k. Condition is rated fair.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-49 ($-594/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $143k (4.8% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $125k (16.7% below list).
It's been on market 252 days — a 12% lower offer ($132k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $125k (16.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $12k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $11k appreciation (7.1% local appreciation)).
Location reads: area grade C — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
Monticello Central School District (town): math 29% / reading 30% proficiency, ranked #577 of 590 in NY (top 98%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Watch-outs: built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 61 active listings in the ZIP; 739 units permitted in Sullivan County in 2024 (5 in 5+ unit buildings).
Sullivan County population projected at -24% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
4 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
At projected returns (7.1% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $42k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$40k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 252 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 17% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Major: exterior siding
— Significant damage
Major: interior walls
— Peeling paint
Major: flooring
— Worn carpet
Major: kitchen cabinets
— Old and outdated
Major: bathroom fixtures
— Small and outdated
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· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29