3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,344 sqft ·
Built 1998
· Manufactured
· Active
· 275 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,750/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$734
Tax + insurance
−$233
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$368
Net cashflow
$416/mo
Annual
$4,991/yr
Cap rate
9.86%
Cash-on-cash
12.74%
DSCR
1.57
1% rule
1.25%
Cash to close
$39,172
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $140k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $416 ($5k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $140k).
It's been on market 275 days — a 12% lower offer ($123k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $123k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $967 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 86/100 on livability (#10 in UT, #389 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+.
Alpine District (suburban): math 45% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #25 of 80 in UT (top 31%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; only 18% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Zoned schools: Orem School (math 63% / reading 61%, grade B, #39 of 585 statewide, top 8%, 716 students, 38% FRL); Orem Jr High (math 24% / reading 34%, grade F, #112 of 138 statewide, top 81%, 961 students, 41% FRL); Mountain View High (math 15% / reading 40%, grade F, #130 of 171 statewide, top 76%, 1,508 students, 33% FRL) — zoned schools average 37% FRL vs 18% district-wide (19 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.9%/yr); 115 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 6,326 units permitted in Utah County in 2024 (1,053 in 5+ unit buildings).
Utah County population projected at +49% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
3 sale attempts since 3y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (13%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 2.9% rent growth), your $39k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 275 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-2ZSFAN13BCP000
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29