4 bd · 2.5 ba ·
2,184 sqft ·
Built 1900
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 24 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,306/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,044
Tax + insurance
−$182
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$484
Net cashflow
$596/mo
Annual
$7,152/yr
Cap rate
9.89%
Cash-on-cash
12.84%
DSCR
1.57
1% rule
1.16%
Cash to close
$55,720
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $199k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $596 ($7k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $199k).
It's been on market 24 days — a 2% lower offer ($196k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $196k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 73/100 on livability (#88 in IN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
Greenfield-Central Community Schools (other): math 47% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #83 of 301 in IN (top 28%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Greenfield-Central High School (math 37% / reading 65%, grade D+, #115 of 369 statewide, top 31%, 1,462 students, 35% FRL).
Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.9%/yr); 481 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 11d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,091 units permitted in Hancock County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Hancock County population projected at +7% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
8 sale attempts since 24y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $16k (7%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $95k; list at $199k implies a 110% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 2.9% rent growth), your $56k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Cap rate 9.9% vs local median 4.4% in Greenfield — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($83k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-309H367PG02DPN
· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29