28 bd · 49.0 ba ·
2,964 sqft ·
Built 1952
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 62 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$21,284/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$8,364
Tax + insurance
−$2,658
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$4,470
Net cashflow
$5,792/mo
Annual
$69,500/yr
Cap rate
10.65%
Cash-on-cash
15.56%
DSCR
1.69
1% rule
1.33%
Cash to close
$446,600
Investor read
This is a 7 × 4-bed/7.0-bath units multifamily listed at $1.59M. Condition is rated fair.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $6k ($70k/yr) — positive. Per door: $827/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($21k rent vs $1.59M).
It's been on market 62 days — a 6% lower offer ($1.50M) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $1.50M (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $11k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $48k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 75/100 on livability (#123 in CA, #4,206 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, employment A+; Watch: health & safety C-, crime D+, cost of living F.
San Diego Unified (urban): math 19% / reading 29% proficiency, ranked #393 of 517 in CA (top 76%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Watch-outs: built in 1952 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.9%/yr); 119 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 11,759 units permitted in San Diego County in 2024 (7,244 in 5+ unit buildings).
San Diego County population projected at +20% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 1.9% rent growth), your $447k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Cap rate 10.7% vs local median 2.0% in San Diego — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $21,284/mo this rent would consume 260% of the median local household income ($98k/yr) (locally 2385% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 62 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Built in 1952 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Major: siding
— Severe weathering and peeling
Major: roof
— Significant wear and tear
Major: driveway
— Large cracks and deterioration
Major: windows
— Older, worn-out windows
CashFlowRE · CFR-32ZV8H9ARCZFSB
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29