28 bd · 16.0 ba ·
4,884 sqft ·
Built 1965
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 53 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$7,190/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,096
Tax + insurance
−$292
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$1,510
Net cashflow
$4,292/mo
Annual
$51,504/yr
Cap rate
30.94%
Cash-on-cash
88.01%
DSCR
4.92
1% rule
3.44%
Cash to close
$58,520
Investor read
This is a 4 × 7-bed/4.0-bath units multifamily listed at $209k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $4k ($52k/yr) — positive. Per door: $1k/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($7k rent vs $209k).
It's been on market 53 days — a 3% lower offer ($203k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $203k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 70/100 on livability (#438 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing A; Watch: amenities D, crime F, commute F.
Union-Endicott Central School District (suburban): math 43% / reading 57% proficiency, ranked #387 of 590 in NY (top 66%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: Charles F Johnson Jr Elementary School (math 17% / reading 27%, grade F, #1,923 of 2,108 statewide, top 92%, 387 students, 66% FRL) — zoned schools average 66% FRL vs 42% district-wide (25 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Zoned-school proficiency averages 22% at this address vs 50% district-wide (-28 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Union-Endicott Central School District average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.1%/yr); 213 active listings in the ZIP; 340 units permitted in Broome County in 2024 (269 in 5+ unit buildings).
Broome County population projected at -13% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
6 sale attempts since 12y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $56k (21%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $64k; list at $209k implies a 224% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 7.1% rent growth), your $59k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Cap rate 30.9% vs local median 5.5% in Endicott — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $7,190/mo this rent would consume 131% of the median local household income ($66k/yr) (locally 1480% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 53 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Built in 1965 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-331VKMBYKXP6AH
· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29