2 bd · 1.5 ba ·
1,182 sqft ·
Built 2000
· Townhouse
· Coming Soon
· 1 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,497/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,783
Tax + insurance
−$567
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$524
Net cashflow
$-377/mo
Annual
$-4,524/yr
Cap rate
4.96%
Cash-on-cash
-4.75%
DSCR
0.79
1% rule
0.73%
Cash to close
$95,200
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.5-bath townhouse listed at $340k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-377 ($-5k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $285k (16.0% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $250k (26.6% below list).
Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $250k (26.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $36k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $34k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 75/100 on livability (#232 in IL, #4,272 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, employment A-; Watch: amenities F, health & safety F.
CUSD 308 (suburban): math 29% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #179 of 620 in IL (top 29%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; only 20% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Zoned schools: Homestead Elementary School (math 37% / reading 52%, grade F, #267 of 2,056 statewide, top 15%, 494 students, 0% FRL); Murphy Junior High School (math 30% / reading 43%, grade F, #178 of 665 statewide, top 27%, 713 students, 0% FRL); Oswego East High School (math 35% / reading 40%, grade F, #104 of 693 statewide, top 15%, 2,836 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 20% district-wide (20 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
Market conditions: 122 active listings in the ZIP; 17 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 2,028 units permitted in Will County in 2024 (530 in 5+ unit buildings).
Will County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$58k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Cap rate 5.0% vs local median 3.5% in Aurora — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-33SFM1CXV1RX8P
· Data 15 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29