2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,080 sqft ·
Built 1982
· Townhouse
· Active
· 196 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,537/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$943
Tax + insurance
−$355
HOA
−$160
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$323
Net cashflow
$-245/mo
Annual
$-2,937/yr
Cap rate
5.03%
Cash-on-cash
-4.51%
DSCR
0.80
1% rule
0.85%
Cash to close
$50,372
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath townhouse listed at $180k. Condition is rated good.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-245 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $144k (19.7% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $154k (14.6% below list).
It's been on market 196 days — a 12% lower offer ($158k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $144k (19.7% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
Indianapolis Public Schools (urban): math 14% / reading 20% proficiency, ranked #286 of 301 in IN (top 95%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 77% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Center For Inquiry School 27 (math 25% / reading 29%, grade F, #737 of 994 statewide, top 76%, 525 students, 51% FRL); H L Harshman Middle School (math 3% / reading 16%, grade F, #316 of 330 statewide, top 96%, 549 students, 84% FRL); Arsenal Technical High School (math 6% / reading 27%, grade F, #353 of 369 statewide, top 96%, 2,366 students, 74% FRL).
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $56/mo.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.2%/yr); 539 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 95d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 78% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 1,906 units permitted in Marion County in 2024 (621 in 5+ unit buildings).
Marion County population projected at +18% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
10 sale attempts since 27y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $48k; list at $180k implies a 276% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 196 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 20% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
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· Data 4 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29