2 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,047 sqft ·
Built 2023
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 82 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$952/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$656
Tax + insurance
−$208
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$200
Net cashflow
$-112/mo
Annual
$-1,340/yr
Cap rate
5.22%
Cash-on-cash
-3.83%
DSCR
0.83
1% rule
0.76%
Cash to close
$35,000
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $125k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-112 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $109k (12.9% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $95k (23.8% below list).
It's been on market 82 days — a 6% lower offer ($118k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $95k (23.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $13k of equity ($864 loan paydown + $12k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 55/100 on livability (#351 in TN) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, amenities F.
Grundy County (rural): math 21% / reading 23% proficiency, ranked #110 of 139 in TN (top 79%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 72% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Market conditions: 42 active listings in the ZIP; 16 units permitted in Grundy County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Grundy County population projected at -24% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $50k (29%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 82 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 24% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-37DV5C0FCJF4Y3
· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29