2 bd · 2.0 ba ·
450 sqft ·
Built 1994
· Condo
· Active
· 90 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$15,221/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$7,840
Tax + insurance
−$2,918
HOA
−$625
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$3,196
Net cashflow
$641/mo
Annual
$7,693/yr
Cap rate
7.15%
Cash-on-cash
3.06%
DSCR
1.14
1% rule
1.02%
Cash to close
$418,600
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $1.50M.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $641 ($8k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($15k rent vs $1.50M).
It's been on market 90 days — a 6% lower offer ($1.41M) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $1.41M (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $160k of equity ($10k loan paydown + $150k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 64/100 on livability (#740 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, schools A; Watch: amenities F, commute F, cost of living F.
Westhampton Beach Union Free School District (suburban): math 72% / reading 75% proficiency, ranked #81 of 590 in NY (top 14%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical.
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo.
Market conditions: 112 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; high-income renter base; 1,366 units permitted in Suffolk County in 2024 (216 in 5+ unit buildings).
Suffolk County population projected to shrink 5% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Current owner paid $325k; list at $1.50M implies a 360% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $419k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$257k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 7.1% vs local median 9.3% in Westhampton Beach — below-typical yield; the buyer is paying a premium for something (appreciation thesis, condition, location) that the cap rate doesn't capture.
At $15,221/mo this rent would consume 146% of the median local household income ($125k/yr) (locally 43% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 90 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-38NH8HDFDK1G69
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29