3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,600 sqft ·
Built 1910
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 95 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,117/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$184
Tax + insurance
−$58
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$235
Net cashflow
$641/mo
Annual
$7,687/yr
Cap rate
28.26%
Cash-on-cash
78.44%
DSCR
4.49
1% rule
3.19%
Cash to close
$9,800
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $35k. Condition is rated poor.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $641 ($8k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $35k).
It's been on market 95 days — a 9% lower offer ($32k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $32k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $3k of equity ($242 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (6.8% local appreciation)).
Location reads 65/100 on livability (#142 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools D+, crime F, amenities F.
Andalusia City (town): math 29% / reading 48% proficiency, ranked #35 of 129 in AL (top 27%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Watch-outs: built in 1910 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 87 active listings in the ZIP; 13 units permitted in Covington County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Covington County population projected to shrink 10% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
At projected returns (6.8% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $10k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 28.3% vs local median 4.1% in Andalusia — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 95 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Built in 1910 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.