4 bd · 4.5 ba ·
2,572 sqft ·
Built 2021
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 120 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$3,672/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$2,360
Tax + insurance
−$1,357
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$771
Net cashflow
$-816/mo
Annual
$-9,794/yr
Cap rate
4.12%
Cash-on-cash
-7.77%
DSCR
0.65
1% rule
0.82%
Cash to close
$126,000
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/4.5-bath single-family listed at $450k. Condition is rated excellent.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-816 ($-10k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $306k (32.0% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $367k (18.4% below list).
It's been on market 120 days — a 9% lower offer ($410k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $306k (32.0% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
In year one you build about $48k of equity ($3k loan paydown + $45k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 81/100 on livability (#24 in TX, #1,380 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F.
Dallas ISD (urban): math 31% / reading 36% proficiency, ranked #559 of 826 in TX (top 68%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 83% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Jesus Moroles Expressive Arts Vanguard (math 23% / reading 43%, grade F, #2,208 of 4,322 statewide, top 52%, 627 students, 75% FRL); D A Hulcy Steam Middle (math 33% / reading 32%, grade F, #947 of 1,662 statewide, top 58%, 423 students, 88% FRL); L G Pinkston H S (math 10% / reading 21%, grade F, #1,505 of 1,632 statewide, top 92%, 1,139 students, 92% FRL) — zoned schools at 85% FRL track the district average.
Watch-outs: property tax is 3.1% of price.
Market conditions: Rents falling (-4.2%/yr); 312 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 57d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 60% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 12,577 units permitted in Dallas County in 2024 (6,829 in 5+ unit buildings).
Dallas County population projected at +35% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
5 sale attempts since 4y ago; this cycle's ask is 6% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$77k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Cap rate 4.1% vs local median 2.3% in Dallas — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $3,672/mo this rent would consume 74% of the median local household income ($60k/yr) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 120 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 32% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-3ANCG45G663ZEJ
· Data 2 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29