4 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,680 sqft ·
Built 1930
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 205 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,242/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$786
Tax + insurance
−$144
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$261
Net cashflow
$51/mo
Annual
$613/yr
Cap rate
6.70%
Cash-on-cash
1.46%
DSCR
1.06
1% rule
0.83%
Cash to close
$41,972
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $150k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $51 ($613/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $124k (17.1% below list).
It's been on market 205 days — a 12% lower offer ($132k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $124k (17.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 71/100 on livability (#342 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment D, crime F, amenities F.
Paris-Union SD 95 (town): math 25% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #227 of 620 in IL (top 37%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Watch-outs: built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 83 active listings in the ZIP; 6 units permitted in Edgar County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Edgar County population projected at -30% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 205 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 17% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
This sits on a lake — are riparian / water-frontage rights deeded with the parcel? Any dock permits, shoreline easements, or HOA water-use restrictions?
What's the documented flood / surge / shoreline-erosion history here (FEMA AND non-FEMA — e.g., storm surge, creek backup, septic-field saturation)?
CashFlowRE · CFR-3AVC9X8HKMD5MH
· Data 16 min agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29