3 bd · 2.5 ba ·
2,170 sqft ·
Built 1946
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 39 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,294/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$865
Tax + insurance
−$212
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$272
Net cashflow
$-55/mo
Annual
$-655/yr
Cap rate
5.90%
Cash-on-cash
-1.42%
DSCR
0.94
1% rule
0.78%
Cash to close
$46,200
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $165k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-55 ($-655/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $155k (5.8% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $129k (21.6% below list).
It's been on market 39 days — a 3% lower offer ($160k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $129k (21.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 67/100 on livability (#97 in WV) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime C-, amenities C-, employment D.
Kanawha County Schools (suburban): math 29% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #17 of 55 in WV (top 31%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Anne Bailey Elementary School (math 32% / reading 22%, grade F, #261 of 377 statewide, top 75%, 217 students, 0% FRL); Hayes Middle School (math 24% / reading 39%, grade F, #52 of 109 statewide, top 49%, 436 students, 0% FRL); Saint Albans High School (math 32% / reading 57%, grade F, #11 of 110 statewide, top 11%, 993 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 46% district-wide (46 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
Watch-outs: built in 1946 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 119 active listings in the ZIP; 103 units permitted in Kanawha County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Kanawha County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 39 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 22% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1946 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-3BVNAE296K7KSB
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29