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67 Central Ave
D Composite 43.47
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +14.5/15.0
  • Cash flow +11.5/30.0
  • DSCR +3.4/10.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Schools +2.9/10.0
  • 1% rule +2.8/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$165,000

67 Central Ave · Nitro, WV 25177
3 bd · 2.5 ba · 2,170 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 39 Days on market
Built 1946 6,752 sqft lot Est $195k · 16% under ↓ 2% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Introducing 67 Central Ave, a beautiful brick home situated on a peaceful dead-end street just off Coal River Road in Saint Albans. With expansive living spaces, a spacious kitchen, and a separate dining room, this residence offers both comfort and convenience. Two full bathrooms, a full basement, and a detached garage add to its appeal, while the covered front porch provides a charming spot to relax. A truly timeless home ready to be enjoyed for years to come!

Key facts

  • Separate dining room
  • Spacious kitchen
  • Full basement

Tags

BRICK HOMEPEACEFUL DEAD-END STREETSPACIOUS KITCHENSEPARATE DINING ROOMFULL BASEMENTDETACHED GARAGE

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
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What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $165k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-55 ($-655/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $155k (5.8% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $129k (21.6% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $129k (21.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 67/100 on livability (#97 in WV) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime C-, amenities C-, employment D.
  • Kanawha County Schools (suburban): math 29% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #17 of 55 in WV (top 31%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Anne Bailey Elementary School (math 32% / reading 22%, grade F, #261 of 377 statewide, top 75%, 217 students, 0% FRL); Hayes Middle School (math 24% / reading 39%, grade F, #52 of 109 statewide, top 49%, 436 students, 0% FRL); Saint Albans High School (math 32% / reading 57%, grade F, #11 of 110 statewide, top 11%, 993 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 46% district-wide (46 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
  • Market conditions: 116 active listings in the ZIP; 103 units permitted in Kanawha County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Kanawha County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 39 days — a 3% lower offer ($160k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1946 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $129,406 (21.6% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 39 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 22% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Built in 1946 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.78%
Cap rate
5.90%
Cash-on-cash
-1.42%
DSCR
0.94
GRM
10.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$195,300
Comps found
7
Show comp detail 7 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
518 High St 0.22mi 3/1.0 2,276 (+5%) 0mo $60,000 $26 75
413 Lore St 0.48mi 3/1.5 2,066 (-5%) 1mo $132,000 $64 65
1052 Meadowview Ln 0.62mi 4/2.0 (+1) 2,032 (-6%) 1mo $183,000 $90 52
432 Fairview Dr 0.53mi 4/2.0 (+1) 2,273 (+5%) 10mo $115,000 $51 52
100 Crescent Rd 0.53mi 4/3.5 (+1) 2,437 (+12%) 4mo $255,000 $105 42
117 Riverview Drive Dr 0.41mi 3/3.0 1,892 (-13%) 20mo $230,000 $122 41
5 Rolling Oaks Ests 0.64mi 4/3.0 (+1) 2,317 (+7%) 19mo $256,000 $110 36

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-18.7%
Equity multiple
0.35×
Total profit
$-30,233
Equity at exit
$24,602
10-year hold
IRR
-11.1%
Equity multiple
0.33×
Total profit
$-30,882
Equity at exit
$14,266

Cash invested: $46,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State West Virginia
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+22
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Landlord-favorable; preempted; minimal protections.

ZIP-level market 25177

Home prices YoY
-16.6%
Active inventory
116
Price-to-rent
10.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,294 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$865
Tax from tax record
$143 /mo · $1,714/yr
Insurance
$69
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$272
Net cashflow
$-55

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,363
Max offer price $155,358
Occupancy floor 99%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $39 -5% $-8 +0% $-55 +5% $-101 +10% $-148
Rent -10% $-157 -5% $-106 +0% $-55 +5% $-3 +10% $48
Rate -1.0pp $29 -0.5pp $-13 base $-55 +0.5pp $-97 +1.0pp $-141

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$41,250
Closing costs
$4,950
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 3 events

  1. 2025-05-12
    status Pending
  2. 2025-04-29
    price $165,000
  3. 2025-04-01
    listed $169,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast WV · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,714 · $143/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,714 · $143/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 22% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,529
− Mortgage interest
−$9,243
− Property taxes
−$1,714
− Insurance
−$825
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,242
− Management
−$1,242
− Depreciation
−$4,800
Taxable loss
−$3,538
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$849
After-tax cash flow
$194/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Kanawha County Schools
NCES district ID
5400600
Math proficiency
29% ▼ -13.00%
Reading proficiency
40% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$44,329
Composite
29.35/100
National rank
#6540
State rank
#17 of 55 in WV

Livability — Nitro

Score
67/100
State rank
#97
US rank
#10940

Category grades

Amenities C- Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C- Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
23,211

Population outlook (Kanawha County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
178,946 people
By 2030
172,906 · -3.4%
By 2040
159,874 · -10.7%
By 2050
148,148 · -17.2%
By 2075
123,257 · -31.1%
By 2100
96,454 · -46.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (89%)
Race & ethnicity
White 89% Two or more races 5% Black 5% Hispanic / Latino 1%
Common ancestry
Serbian 2% Italian 2% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
0%

Political lean MEDSL · Kanawha

2024 margin
R (+17.4) · D 40.2% · R 57.6% · Other 2.2%
2008→2024 swing
-17.0pp toward R · 2008: -0.4pp · 2024: -17.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+17.4 2020: R+14.7 2016: R+20.6 2012: R+11.9 2008: R+0.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -36.96%
Current HPI
185.502
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
F500 in state
0

Price history

-2.4% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2025-05-12 Pending KVBOR
  • 2025-04-29 Price Changed $165,000 KVBOR
  • 2025-04-01 Listed $169,000 KVBOR

Property tax history

+14.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,714 · -0.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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