67 Central Ave · Nitro, WV
Flood risk 4/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.22%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $787 – $1,461
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 101°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +14.5/15.0
- Cash flow +11.5/30.0
- DSCR +3.4/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Schools +2.9/10.0
- 1% rule +2.8/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$165,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Introducing 67 Central Ave, a beautiful brick home situated on a peaceful dead-end street just off Coal River Road in Saint Albans. With expansive living spaces, a spacious kitchen, and a separate dining room, this residence offers both comfort and convenience. Two full bathrooms, a full basement, and a detached garage add to its appeal, while the covered front porch provides a charming spot to relax. A truly timeless home ready to be enjoyed for years to come!
Key facts
- Separate dining room
- Spacious kitchen
- Full basement
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $165k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-55 ($-655/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $155k (5.8% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $129k (21.6% below list).
- Recommended offer: $129k (21.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 67/100 on livability (#97 in WV) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime C-, amenities C-, employment D.
- Kanawha County Schools (suburban): math 29% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #17 of 55 in WV (top 31%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Anne Bailey Elementary School (math 32% / reading 22%, grade F, #261 of 377 statewide, top 75%, 217 students, 0% FRL); Hayes Middle School (math 24% / reading 39%, grade F, #52 of 109 statewide, top 49%, 436 students, 0% FRL); Saint Albans High School (math 32% / reading 57%, grade F, #11 of 110 statewide, top 11%, 993 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 46% district-wide (46 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
- Market conditions: 116 active listings in the ZIP; 103 units permitted in Kanawha County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Kanawha County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 39 days — a 3% lower offer ($160k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1946 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 39 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 22% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1946 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.78% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.90%
- Cash-on-cash
- -1.42%
- DSCR
- 0.94
- GRM
- 10.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $195,300
- Comps found
- 7
Show comp detail 7 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 518 High St | 0.22mi | 3/1.0 | 2,276 (+5%) | 0mo | $60,000 | $26 | 75 |
| 413 Lore St | 0.48mi | 3/1.5 | 2,066 (-5%) | 1mo | $132,000 | $64 | 65 |
| 1052 Meadowview Ln | 0.62mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 2,032 (-6%) | 1mo | $183,000 | $90 | 52 |
| 432 Fairview Dr | 0.53mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 2,273 (+5%) | 10mo | $115,000 | $51 | 52 |
| 100 Crescent Rd | 0.53mi | 4/3.5 (+1) | 2,437 (+12%) | 4mo | $255,000 | $105 | 42 |
| 117 Riverview Drive Dr | 0.41mi | 3/3.0 | 1,892 (-13%) | 20mo | $230,000 | $122 | 41 |
| 5 Rolling Oaks Ests | 0.64mi | 4/3.0 (+1) | 2,317 (+7%) | 19mo | $256,000 | $110 | 36 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -18.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.35×
- Total profit
- $-30,233
- Equity at exit
- $24,602
- IRR
- -11.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.33×
- Total profit
- $-30,882
- Equity at exit
- $14,266
Cash invested: $46,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State West Virginia
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+22
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 25177
- Home prices YoY
- -16.6%
- Active inventory
- 116
- Price-to-rent
- 10.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,294 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$865
- Tax from tax record
- −$143 /mo · $1,714/yr
- Insurance
- −$69
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$272
- Net cashflow
- $-55
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $39 | -5% $-8 | +0% $-55 | +5% $-101 | +10% $-148 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-157 | -5% $-106 | +0% $-55 | +5% $-3 | +10% $48 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $29 | -0.5pp $-13 | base $-55 | +0.5pp $-97 | +1.0pp $-141 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $41,250
- Closing costs
- $4,950
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 3 events
-
2025-05-12status Pending
-
2025-04-29price $165,000
-
2025-04-01$169,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast WV · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,714 · $143/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,714 · $143/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 22% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,529
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,243
- − Property taxes
- −$1,714
- − Insurance
- −$825
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,242
- − Management
- −$1,242
- − Depreciation
- −$4,800
- Taxable loss
- −$3,538
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$849
- After-tax cash flow
- $194/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Kanawha County Schools
- NCES district ID
- 5400600
- Math proficiency
- 29% ▼ -13.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 40% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $44,329
- Composite
- 29.35/100
- National rank
- #6540
- State rank
- #17 of 55 in WV
Livability — Nitro
- Score
- 67/100
- State rank
- #97
- US rank
- #10940
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 23,211
Population outlook (Kanawha County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 178,946 people
- By 2030
- 172,906 · -3.4%
- By 2040
- 159,874 · -10.7%
- By 2050
- 148,148 · -17.2%
- By 2075
- 123,257 · -31.1%
- By 2100
- 96,454 · -46.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (89%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 89% Two or more races 5% Black 5% Hispanic / Latino 1%
- Common ancestry
- Serbian 2% Italian 2% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 0%
Political lean MEDSL · Kanawha
- 2024 margin
- R (+17.4) · D 40.2% · R 57.6% · Other 2.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -17.0pp toward R · 2008: -0.4pp · 2024: -17.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+17.4 2020: R+14.7 2016: R+20.6 2012: R+11.9 2008: R+0.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -36.96%
- Current HPI
- 185.502
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
-2.4% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2025-05-12 Pending — KVBOR
- 2025-04-29 Price Changed $165,000 KVBOR
- 2025-04-01 Listed $169,000 KVBOR
Property tax history
+14.7%/yrLatest (2025): $1,714 · -0.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…