2 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,036 sqft ·
Built 1979
· Condo
· Active
· 140 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,515/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$708
Tax + insurance
−$225
HOA
−$410
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$318
Net cashflow
$-146/mo
Annual
$-1,751/yr
Cap rate
5.00%
Cash-on-cash
-4.63%
DSCR
0.79
1% rule
1.12%
Cash to close
$37,800
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $135k. Condition is rated fair.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-146 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $114k (15.6% below list).
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $135k).
It's been on market 140 days — a 12% lower offer ($119k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $114k (15.6% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $933 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 83/100 on livability (#53 in FL, #924 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+.
Escambia (suburban): math 40% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #56 of 73 in FL (top 77%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Scenic Heights Elementary School (math 66% / reading 63%, grade B, #525 of 2,144 statewide, top 26%, 809 students, 51% FRL); Ferry Pass Middle School (math 34% / reading 33%, grade F, #428 of 571 statewide, top 76%, 1,014 students, 64% FRL); Washington Senior High School (math 25% / reading 40%, grade F, #411 of 667 statewide, top 62%, 1,733 students, 51% FRL) — zoned schools at 55% FRL track the district average.
Watch-outs: HOA is 27% of rent.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.6%/yr); 173 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 1,479 units permitted in Escambia County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Escambia County population projected at +13% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
2 sale attempts since 19y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $15k (10%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $106k; 27% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 5.0% vs local median 3.6% in Pensacola — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 140 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 16% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Built in 1979 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Minor: Paint touch-ups
— Some areas of paint show minor scuffing
Minor: Sealant touch-ups
— Tile flooring may need a fresh coat of sealant
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· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29