3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,649 sqft ·
Built 1996
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 151 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,991/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,389
Tax + insurance
−$278
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$418
Net cashflow
$-94/mo
Annual
$-1,130/yr
Cap rate
5.87%
Cash-on-cash
-1.52%
DSCR
0.93
1% rule
0.75%
Cash to close
$74,172
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $265k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-94 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $248k (6.3% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $199k (24.9% below list).
It's been on market 151 days — a 12% lower offer ($233k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $199k (24.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 71/100 on livability (#47 in LA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D+, crime F, amenities F.
Bossier Parish (urban): math 40% / reading 47% proficiency, ranked #17 of 98 in LA (top 17%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.6%/yr); 425 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 716 units permitted in Bossier Parish in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Bossier County population projected at +28% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $180k; 47% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 66% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 5.9% vs local median 4.7% in Bossier City — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
This rent runs 37% of the median local income ($65k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 151 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 25% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-3CY206BDVRRDQE
· Data 4 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29