3 bd · 3.0 ba ·
1,850 sqft ·
Built 2026
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 64 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,857/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$2,045
Tax + insurance
−$650
HOA
−$63
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$600
Net cashflow
$-501/mo
Annual
$-6,011/yr
Cap rate
4.75%
Cash-on-cash
-5.50%
DSCR
0.76
1% rule
0.73%
Cash to close
$109,197
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $390k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-501 ($-6k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $318k (18.6% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $286k (26.7% below list).
It's been on market 64 days — a 6% lower offer ($367k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $286k (26.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $12k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 72/100 on livability (#13 in NM) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools D-, crime F.
Albuquerque Public Schools (urban): math 51% / reading 75% proficiency, ranked #3 of 29 in NM (top 10%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; 60% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Market conditions: Rents flat; 183 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 12d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,316 units permitted in Bernalillo County in 2024 (546 in 5+ unit buildings).
2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $30k (7%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Cap rate 4.8% vs local median 3.7% in Albuquerque — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
At $2,857/mo this rent would consume 69% of the median local household income ($50k/yr) (locally 2859% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 64 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 27% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
CashFlowRE · CFR-3D0H3902AYJKMP
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29