2 bd · 1.5 ba ·
1,584 sqft ·
Built 1951
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 80 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,056/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$722
Tax + insurance
−$133
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$222
Net cashflow
$-21/mo
Annual
$-250/yr
Cap rate
6.11%
Cash-on-cash
-0.65%
DSCR
0.97
1% rule
0.77%
Cash to close
$38,528
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $138k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-21 ($-250/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $134k (2.7% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $106k (23.3% below list).
It's been on market 80 days — a 6% lower offer ($129k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $106k (23.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $951 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 67/100 on livability (#66 in WY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools C-, health & safety C-, crime D+.
Goshen County School District #1 (town): math 45% / reading 57% proficiency, ranked #28 of 41 in WY (top 68%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Watch-outs: built in 1951 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 81 active listings in the ZIP; 3 units permitted in Goshen County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Goshen County population projected at +12% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
2 sale attempts since 3y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $34k (20%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Cap rate 6.1% vs local median 3.7% in Torrington — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 80 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 23% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1951 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-3DRDQVB0SQDW9V
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29