2 bd · 1.5 ba ·
1,054 sqft ·
Built 1972
· Condo
· Active
· 140 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,415/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$467
Tax + insurance
−$260
HOA
−$226
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$297
Net cashflow
$165/mo
Annual
$1,981/yr
Cap rate
10.21%
Cash-on-cash
13.98%
DSCR
1.62
1% rule
1.59%
Cash to close
$24,920
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.5-bath condo listed at $89k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $165 ($2k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $89k).
It's been on market 140 days — a 12% lower offer ($78k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $78k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $6k of equity ($615 loan paydown + $5k appreciation (5.9% local appreciation)).
Location reads 68/100 on livability (#527 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A-; Watch: crime C-, employment D, schools F.
Marion (rural): math 42% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #61 of 73 in FL (top 84%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 61% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $125/mo.
Market conditions: Rents flat; 674 active listings in the ZIP; 33 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 7,071 units permitted in Marion County in 2024 (534 in 5+ unit buildings).
Marion County population projected at +13% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
4 sale attempts since 5y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $16k (15%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $71k; 25% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
At projected returns (5.9% appreciation + 0.2% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 6, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone A (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 10.2% vs local median 4.7% in Silver Springs Shores — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 140 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1972 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
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