1 bd · 1.0 ba ·
800 sqft ·
Built 1962
· Condo
· Active
· 182 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,510/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,143
Tax + insurance
−$430
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$527
Net cashflow
$410/mo
Annual
$4,917/yr
Cap rate
8.91%
Cash-on-cash
9.36%
DSCR
1.42
1% rule
1.15%
Cash to close
$61,040
Investor read
This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $218k. Condition is rated good.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $410 ($5k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $218k).
It's been on market 182 days — a 12% lower offer ($192k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $192k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-1.5%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 69/100 on livability (#487 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, crime A, amenities B+; Watch: housing D+, commute F, cost of living F.
New Rochelle City School District (suburban): math 63% / reading 66% proficiency, ranked #171 of 590 in NY (top 29%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
Market conditions: 84 active listings in the ZIP; 32 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 8d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 954 units permitted in Westchester County in 2024 (649 in 5+ unit buildings).
Westchester County population projected at +10% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
At projected returns (-1.5% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $61k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 8.9% vs local median 4.5% in New Rochelle — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 182 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1962 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Minor: kitchen countertops
— A fresh coat of paint or new countertops would enhance the kitchen's appearance.
Minor: bathroom fixtures
— Updating the fixtures to a more modern style would improve the bathroom's appeal.
Minor: landscaping
— A light pruning and mulching of the landscaping would enhance curb appeal and maintain the property's value.
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· Data 2 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29